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Kamis, 28 Januari 2016

3 Crucial Tools & 3 Essential Basics For Successful News Trading

Most often we get inquiries on this question: "what are the best tools for news trading" and "what are the best trading systems (EAs) for news trading". In order to proffer answers to these questions, I try to find out what actually these traders want. I discovered the following needs are major in the list:

  1. Consistent Profit, Consistent Profit, Consistent Profit...... (not entirely possible)
  2. Ability to trade every news event, without a loss (not entirely possible)
  3. Super intelligent system that will beat the market at its game (possible but not all the time)
Based on my experience in news trading I came up with what I call the basics and essential tools that would aid and improve a high-win rate in news trading. The combination of these tools does not make it a perfect system (holy grail) although it can get close to it depending on the knowledge and skills of the user. It is therefore extremely necessary to work on yourself because a perfect system with an imperfect user will always produce an inefficient result.

Lets start with the essential basics and then we proceed to the tools....

BASICS
  1. You
    The greatest tool in Forex trading is YOU. You are what you know and the more good knowledge you know about Forex the more successful you'll become. Knowledge they say is Power. You MUST acquire deep knowledge about Forex not just buying and selling but the underlying tricks, intrigues, secrets, both technical and fundamental principles of news trading. 

    See: How I Trade The News (Beginners & Advanced Knowledge) - Part 1, Part 2 & Part 3 

    Based on my interview with some traders I noticed that what they actually need is just a little bit of indepth knowledge added to the trading systems they've acquired then they'll excel and reduce the consistent losses. In some cases many got frustrated, and backed out of news trading too soon.

    See: Popular issues and complaints traders' make about news trading & where they got it wrong

  2. Computer System
    The area of focus here is not just the kind or specs of the computer system although its really important we use the best computing resources in trading Forex (a CPU of 2GHz & 2GB RAM upwards is suitable). The area of focus here is the right data connection (speed and reliability). Most news release comes with very swift reactions that are capable of sending price feed servers to go nuts. In some cases news data source comes in late after the action has occurred due to the insufficient capacity of the computing resources, and data connection reliability to pull down data from them. In this case a VPS is a great tool for 100% efficiency in news trading due to their massive resources, and robust hardware architecture.

  3. Broker
    This is another very important area where many traders get so confused and frustrated. We receive lots of inquiries like "which broker is the best for news trading?" or "where can I get a broker without slippages, requotes and low spreads?" The answer is you might not get a 100% perfect kind of Broker but at least you can truly get something close it.  A common mistake most traders make in news trading that leads to slippages is when they try to manually place an order few seconds to a news release. The chances of getting slippages becomes very high due to the huge demand and super speed (surge) of price from liquidity providers all over the world at split of seconds. Even intelligent auto click EAs sometimes fail in this scenario. However the following considerations are important when it comes to news trading and Brokers.
    • Account
      Not all account types are recommended for news trading. An ECN account or an STP Broker with either currenex or related account of such type is preferable. Using a mini or micro account with an insignificant balance might be disastrous for news trading, except you want to trade with mini lots of 0.01, which might be unprofitable at the short run. Some Brokers have dedicated accounts for news trading. 

    • See: HotForex Zero Spread Account (specially designed for News Trading & Scalping EAs)  
       
      Certain account types are protected from unusual spread widening. However from close observations, there are certain events that these special accounts cannot totally control when it comes to spread widening. For example events like Interest Rates, & Employment Change that requires pairing of CHF, AUD, CAD & NZD, spreads often widen beyond what we consider as the normal range in few seconds to the news release and then retract back. This calls for wisdom, and good skills to control and take advantage of it.
       
    • CapitalDoes the amount of capital required for news trading matter? Yes! but with disciplined money management rules a little amount can swell up to a large ocean in due time. Honestly it will be gambling to start with a minimal sum of $100 for news trading. The kind of volatility here might crush it to bits in only one event if something goes wrong. This is worse for new beginners. Most traders misunderstand the word from Brokers - "Minimum Deposit" as to mean recommended capital for trading Forex. Hence they jump in with the minimum (a little amount), and then get fried at an early stage.
    •  
ESSENTIAL TOOLS
We decided to state a few important info about the basics before looking at the tools because the basics acts as a solid foundation which will make you enjoy full benefits of the essential tools.
      Tool No 1. [News Feed Utilities]
      You might be wondering why the EAs and Indicators didn't come up as the first essential tool. Without the news feed systems EAs or manual news trading systems are useless. Infact news feeds are a crucial feature in automated news trading system. So what's the ideal tool for this? They must be fast, lightweight, possibly affordable, portable, & accessible with ease.
        FXPulse4: This FREE utility eases the monitoring of news release outcome directly on your chart. You do not need to flip back & forth from your platform and browser to see the actual figures for the news release as it comes directly on your chart. The utility can be customized to suit all kinds of events. Download: FXPulse 4.0


        FXPulse 4.0


        NewsCal Indicator: It's a FREE lightweight mini indicator with an event calendar that can be customized to suit every need. It's fast and pulls data from Forexfactory right into your chart. An interesting feature is the alarm system which informs you of an incoming news event. It's part of my news trading arsenal and its been very helpful to me.
        NewsCal Indicator

        Dynamic Support & Resistance Tools
        I talked more on this tool in our series of How I Trade The News. This tool (indicator) is very intelligent as it dynamically recalculates the support and resistance of price (highs & lows) within intervals and draws the resistance and support lines on the chart. This helps in placing pending orders, knowing actual areas to set stop loss, and likely areas where whipsaws (fast or irrational up & down movement in seconds) would occur prior to and during news release. This tool makes manual news trading and straddling very easy for me.

        NB: A combination of the newscal indicator, S-R indicators and others can be found in the Part 2 series of How I Trade The News


        Tool No 2. [Expert Advisers]
        Apparently some developers have been able to design clever, dynamic (full auto & manual), and intelligent EAs that trade the news efficiently. Quantina Intelligence Ltd - Research Labs is one of them. They are dedicated to research work on automated news trading strategies.  Here are some of the essential news trading EAs from them.

        Full Fledged EAs (Set & Run)

        Quantina Forex News Trader EA 2015 ULTIMATE v3.1 (Automated-and-Manual Trade)  
        This EA has been confirmed as a "Plug & Earn" fully
        http://quantina-intelligence.com/forex/index.php?route=product/product&product_id=65&tracking=53eb5931a1644
        automated Forex robot. It has the capacity to download Economic Calendars, which are filtered automatically, choosing the best possible currency pairs and trading automatically in the background to reduce internet usage. According to the developers, the EA is able to achieve about 82-90% consistency success in Forex news trading. Personally from my experience its one of the best News Straddling Software. However a notable issue with users is getting the right optimized settings. There is a special settings pack available at a small price. It's the same settings pack used by the developers.

        Quantina Straddle Trader EA 2016 - (With Latency Meter)
        http://quantina-intelligence.com/forex/index.php?route=product/product&product_id=81&tracking=53eb5931a1644This is another essential tool for news traders who love to straddle before economic news is released. I have received lots of request on straddling news trading systems due to its fantastic way of making profits from news trading.

        Straddling means placing two pending orders before economic news is released, a buy-stop and a sell-stop. The essence of this is to set a trap to capture market moves after a news release, which may go either way

        If the news release comes out bullish, a bullish spike would trigger the buy-stop order and hopefully the trader will make some money. The same applies to bearish spikes. So with straddling, direction of a news release is not so important and not relevant. The EA takes care of all this without your intervention.

        A great feature in this EA is the Latency, Spread and Speed Meter, Advanced Break Even Method (Trigger + Lock), and Stealth Mode Function to protect your account. A demo version is also available.

        NB: All products from Quantina Intelligence Ltd. is currently available at a special promo price. See more details or contact us for volume price and better deals.

        If you wish to go the FREE way then these essential EAs would be useful.

        Henry Liu's CNT EA
        I really don't know the current performance of this EA. It's quite a useful EA that trades the news automatically but lacks the additional features of very good paid versions. For a low budget trader it's ok to start with. Henry Liu's EA used to be the hype back then but it seems a bit silent now.

         Auto Click EAs (FNG)
        Honestly based on personal experience I do not recommend auto click news trading systems due to extreme volatility of some events in news trading. For instance there are events that causes huge gaps in splits of seconds due to the severity of the impact, which auto click systems cannot detect or execute. The issues of hangs and platform freezing during news release makes auto click systems inefficient. However there are some FREE auto click systems like FNG that are very good. FNG publishes guides and setups regularly for subscribers.


        Tool No 3. [VPS]
        The benefit of using a VPS is most often ignored by traders. It is a very handy tool for the following kinds of people:
           > Busy Traders (investors)
          These are mainly traders who have very busy schedule and therefore do not have the time to adequately monitor news trading events or the events most often clashes with their business schedules which keeps them off their computer.  
          Another category of this type are traders we call pure investors. They have little or no knowledge in Forex and hence invest only in EAs, PAMM, or Signal trading systems. It's advisable for traders of these type to deploy their platforms to a reliable VPS where their platform and trading systems would run 24/7 unhindered.
          > Traders Who Reside in Unfavourable Geographical Regions
          There are some or more important news trade events that are scheduled in times that are not favorable to certain geographic region due to time difference. Well Forex trading is more of a 24/7 market so one should get used to this. However it could be very tiring to be up midnight after a hard days work to keep up an upcoming event. I have most times missed vital events despite depending on my clock alarm to wake me up at such times. So in this case a VPS with an automated trading system would be very handy. See more on Why You Might Need A VPS System & Top 5 Forex VPS Providers - 2016
            For a reliable VPS we recommend NextPointHost & TradingFXVPS. NextPointHost currently offers a special price discount for life up to 50% depending on the billing cycle. I've known them for quiet some years. TradingFXVPS has well spread VPS data centers in major parts of the world.

            These are the Three (3) crucial tools and basic needs for successful news trading. If you know any that's not listed here and will be very useful, feel free to share with us.

            Wish you a pipful encounter all the way.

            Your dear friend in news trading.  


            Copyright Image (Mechanic Spanner Toolbox Running Isolated Cartoon) courtesy of vectorolie / FreeDigitalPhotos.net 

                Senin, 04 Januari 2016

                News Trading Results - 2016

                Our news trading experience has been wonderful ever since we developed a unique news trading strategy. The performance last year was great and there's a lot we still need to perfect in 2016.We intend to add the result of other news trading systems along with ours here. Feel free to share yours. See full 2015 results

                *NEW: Good news.... We recently discovered a new trading strategy not on news trading. The trading strategy is currently being tested on the same account used for our news trading. Therefore we shall be sharing the results along with the news trading results here. For now we do not have a name for the strategy but it is identified here as Morning Rise or Night Sniper. More details soon.....

                July Live Statistics - Source MT4i (*no update for July yet)

                Monthly Performance Result
                (Click On The Month To Display/Download Detailed Account Statement)
                January
                Capital $100,000.00
                Profit   $266,038.60
                February
                Capital $10,000.00
                Profit $12,492.54
                March
                Capital $10,000.00
                Profit $149,703.87
                April
                Capital $10,000.00
                Profit
                $22.24
                May
                Capital $10,000.00
                Profit
                $31.53
                June
                Capital $10,000.00
                Profit
                $1,750.27
                JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

                 KEY: A = Actual, F = Forecast, P = Previous -r = Revised



                Date News Item Act For PrvResult
                January  **New Test Account $100,000.00



                Week 1 Jan
                Jan 4, 2016

                US ISM Man PMI

                48.2

                49.1

                48.6

                No Trade
                Jan 6, 2016 UK Services PMI55.555.655.9No Trade

                US ADP Non-Farm Empl. Chg.257K193K211K -r-$24,653.42
                Jan 8, 2016 US NFP292K203K252K -r$19,170.71

                CAD Empl. Change22.8K10.4K-35.7K-$18,076.84

                Week 2 Jan
                Jan 14, 2016


                AUD Empl. Change/Unem. Rate


                -1.0K


                -11.0K


                74.9K -r


                -$13,704.13

                UK Bank Vote1-0-81-0-81-0-8No Trade

                UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%No Trade
                Jan 15, 2016 US Core Retail Sales-0.1%0.2%0.3% -r$3,091.3

                Week 3 Jan
                Jan 19, 2016


                UK CPI y/y


                0.2%


                0.1%


                0.1%


                Missed Trade

                NZD CPI y/y-0.5%-0.2%0.3%$62,361.69
                Jan 20, 2016 US Core CPI m/m-0.1%0.2%0.2%Missed Trade

                CAD Interest Rate0.50%0.25%0.25%Missed Trade

                BOC Press Conference


                Missed Trade
                Jan 21, 2016EUR Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%No Trade

                ECB Press Conference


                $109,277.02
                Jan 22, 2016UK Core Retail Sales-0.1%0.1%1.3% -rNo Trade

                CAD Core CPI m/m-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%No Trade

                CAD Core Retail Sales m/m1.1%0.4%0.0%No Trade

                Week 4 Jan
                Jan 27, 2016


                AUD CPI q/q


                0.4%


                0.3%


                0.5%


                $33,030.07

                US FOMC/Int. Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%-$45,730.47

                NZD Int. Rate/Statement2.50%2.50%2.50%-$1,590.15
                Jan 28, 2016UK Prelim GDP q/q0.5%0.5%0.4% -r-$47,657.17
                Jan 29, 2016US Advanced GDP q/q0.7%0.8%2.0% -rNo Trade

                CAD GDP m/m0.3%0.3%0.0% No Trade
                TOTAL




                $266,038.60

                February
                Week 1 Feb


                **New Test Account $10,000.00




                Feb 1, 2016UK Manufacturing PMI52.951.852.1 -r -$2,445.54

                US ISM Manufacturing PMI48.248.648.2 $117.00
                Feb 2, 2016NZD Employment Change q/q0.9%0.8%-0.5% -r Missed Trade

                UK Services PMI55.655.455.5 -$1,468.81
                Feb 3, 2016US ADP205K193K267K -r -$1,480.19

                US ISM Non Man. PMI53.555.155.3No Trade
                Feb 4, 2016UK Bank Vote0-0-91-0-81-0-8 $4,614.44

                UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50% Shared Result
                Feb 5, 2016US NFP151K189K262K -r -$513.16

                CAD Employment Change-5.7K5.2K22.8K $236.93

                Week 2 Feb









                Feb 12, 2016US Core Retail Sales0.1%0.0%0.1% -r $695.81

                Week 3 Feb









                Feb 15, 2016NZD Retail Sales q/q1.2%1.4%1.5% -r -$764.66
                Feb 18, 2016AUD Employment Change-7.9K12.9K-0.8K -r $746.71

                AUD Unemployment Rate6.0%5.8%5.8% Shared Result
                Feb 19, 2016UK Retail Sales m/m2.3%0.8%-1.4%-r$1,150.35

                CAD Core CPI m/m0.3%0.2%-0.4%No Trade

                CAD Core Retail Sales m/m-1.6%0.5%1.0%-rNo Trade

                US Core CPI m/m0.3%0.2%0.1%$961.66

                Week 4 Feb





                Feb 26, 2016US Prelim GDP q/q


                $642.01
                TOTAL



                $12,492.54

                March
                Week 1 Mar


                New Test Account $10,000.00




                Mar 1, 2016AUD Interest Rate2.00%2.00%2.00%Missed Trade

                CAD GDP m/m0.2%0.1%0.3%$2,238.87

                US ISM Non-Man PMI49.548.548.2$293.55
                Mar 2, 2016AUD GDP q/q0.6%0.5%0.9%$3,750.55

                US ADP Non-Farm 193K185K214K -r$-7.61
                Mar 3, 2016UK Sevices PMI 52.755.155.6$60.00 #qu

                US ISM Non-Man PMI 53.453.253.5-$1,108.81
                Mar 4, 2016AUD Retail Sales m/m0.3%0.4%0.0%No Trade

                US NFP242K195K272K -r$2,506.52
                Week 2, Mar




                Mar 9, 2016CAD Int. Rate/Statement0.5%0.5%0.5%-$642.23

                NZD Interest Rates2.25%2.50%2.50%$23,835.21
                Mar 10, 2016EUR Interest Rate0.00%0.05%0.05%$16,513.12

                ECB Press Conference


                $1,668.40
                Mar 11, 2016CAD Empl. Change-2.3K10.2K-5.7K$5,441.57

                CAD Unem. Rate7.3%7.2%7.2%Shared Result
                Week 3, Mar




                Mar 15, 2016US Core Retail Sales m/m-0.1%-0.2%-0.4% -r$966.52
                Mar 16, 2016US Core CPI m/m0.3%0.2%0.3%$823.17

                US Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%$26,535.79

                US FOMC Press Conf.



                $1,085.20

                NZD GDP q/q0.9%0.7%0.9%$15,758.15
                Mar, 17 2016AUD Empl. Change0.3K11.6K-7.4K -r$12,064.50

                AUD Unem Rate5.8%6.0%6.0%Shared Result

                CHF Libor Rate-0.75%-0.75%-0.75%No Trade

                UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%$8,307.38

                UK MPC Bank Rate Vote0-0-90-0-90-0-9Shared Result
                Week 4, Mar
                Mar 22, 2016UK CPI y/y0.3%0.4%0.3%$46,329.40
                Mar 24, 2016UK Retail Sales m/m-0.4%-0.7%2.3%No Trade

                Week 5, Mar
                Mar 29, 2016US Fed Chair Yellen Speech$209,735.30
                Mar 30, 2016US ADP Non-Farm200K195K205K -r-$38,361.87...
                Mar 31, 2016UK Final GDP q/q0.6%0.5%0.5%-$207,686.32...
                CAD GDP m/m0.6%0.3%0.2%$17,921.87
                CHF Gov Board Member Speech$9,603.87
                TOTAL



                $149,703.87

                April
                Week 5/1 Apr


                New Test Account $10,000.00
                April 1, 2016US NFP215K206K245K -r$4,826.68
                US ISM Man PMI51.850.849.5-$5,968.76
                April 4, 2016AUD Retail Sales m/m0.0%50.8%49.5%No Trade
                April 5, 2016AUD Interest Rate2.00%2.00%2.00%No Trade
                UK Services PMI53.753.952.7No Trade
                US ISM Non-Man PMI54.554.153.4No Trade
                April 8, 2016CAD Empl. Change40.6K10.4K-2.3KNo Trade
                April 11, 2016Anonymous Trade    -$419.25
                TOTAL$22.24
                May
                New Test Account $10,000.00 + 
                New Trading Strategy Included
                Week 1, May
                May 3, 2016Night Sniper/Morning Rise$2,153.85
                May 3, 2016NZD Empl. Change1.2%0.6%1.0% -r-$775.28
                May 4, 2016US ADP Non-Farm156K205194 -rNo Trade
                US ISM Non-Man PMI56.754.954.5No Trade
                Night Sniper/Morning Rise-$4,563.93
                May 5, 2016Morning Rise/AUD Retail Sales0.4%0.3%0.1% -r$2,367.98
                UK Services PMI52.353.653.7$2,367.98
                May 6, 2016US NFP160K203K208K -r-$3,181.07
                CAD Empl. Change-2.1K0.2K40.6K$936.81
                Week 2, May
                May 10, 2016Morning Rise


                $1,492.04
                May 11, 2016Morning Rise


                $378.01
                May 12, 2016Morning Rise$397.70
                UK Bank Vote/Int. Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%-$81.22
                UK BOE Carney Speech$129.29
                NZD Core Retail Sales1.0%1.1%1.3%-$899.65
                May 13, 2016Morning Rise-$838.74
                Week 3, May
                May 17, 2016UK CPI y/y0.3%0.5%0.5%$915.74
                US Core CPI m/m0.2%0.1%0.1%$41.64
                May 18, 2016Morning Rise$1,134.28
                US FOMC Minutes$2,119.00
                May 19, 2016AUD Empl. Change10.8K12.1K25.7K -r-$2,861.75
                General Trades-$5,537.35
                TOTAL$31.53
                June
                New Test Account $10,000.00 + 
                New Trading Strategy Included
                Week 1, June
                June 1, 2016UK Man PMI50.149.649.2$209.74
                US ISM Man PMI51.350.550.8No Trade
                June 2, 2016EUR Int Rate Decision0.00%0.00%0.00%-$1,252.94
                BOE Gov Carney Speech-$268.20
                US ADP173K174K166K -r$239.63
                June 3, 2016US NFP38K159K123K -r$3,607.27
                June 6, 2016US Fed Chair Speech$443.75
                June 8, 2016NZD Interest Rate2.25%2.25%2.25%$7,482.45
                June 8, 2016NZD Press Conference$346.16
                Miscellaneous Trade$83.08
                Gov Poloz Speech-$147.33
                June 9, 2016CAD Empl. Change13.8K3.1K-2.1K$5,830.38
                Week 3, June
                June 14, 2016Morning Rise$1,412.62
                UK CPI y/y0.3%0.4%0.3%No Trade
                June 15, 2016US Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%$3,520.95
                US FOMC Press Conf.$150.00
                NZD GDP q/q0.7%0.5%0.9%$4,576.80
                June 16, 2016AUD Empl.Change17.9K14.9K0.8K -r-$11,896.57
                CHF Libor Rate/Press Conf.-0.75%-0.75%-0.75%No Trade
                UK Retail Sales0.9%0.3%1.9K -rNo Trade
                UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%No Trade
                Week 4, June
                June 23, 2016UK Pre-Brexit Vote-$23,362.59
                June 24, 2016UK Post-Brexit VoteLeaveLeaveLeave$1,313.68
                TOTAL$1,750.27
                July
                New Test Account $10,000.00 + 
                New Trading Strategy Included
                July 1st, 2016UK Man PMI52.150.050.1No Trade
                US ISM Man PMI53.251.351.3$135.63
                July 4th, 2016UK Construction PMI46.050.651.2$128.56
                July 5th, 2016Morning Rise$1,348.39
                AUD Interest Rate1.75%1.75%1.75%-$885.61
                BOE Gov Carney SpeechDovish$1,538.54
                July 6th, 2016Morning Rise-$1.80 (Pending...)
                TOTAL$12,737.67

                In News Trading Your Broker Matters A Lot. We Recommend HotForex Zero Spread Account (specially designed for news traders and scalpers). Give it a try. Click here for more info....HotForex Zero Spread Account 


                https://tradingfxvps.com/whmcs/aff.php?aff=5&url=http://tradingfxvps.com
                Don't Miss Any News Trading Event, Signals, or EA. Trade 24/7 With A Reliable VPS
                Copyright: Image ID-100122522 courtesy of Renjith Krishnan / FreeDigitalPhotos.net