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Rabu, 08 Oktober 2014

Real Time Buy Sell Analysis Tools for Commodities, Futures, Indices, and Forex

We have put together the best tools for Forex, Commodities, Indices, Stocks, CFDs, Interest Rates, Converters/Calculators, e.t.c in one spot where you can quickly get the best, reliable, and timely information, you need to make the right decisions in your trades. All the resources here are Real-Time and powered by one of the World's Leading Forex Resource Provider - Investing.com  

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*New Currency Heat Map: This tool shows the strongest, and weakest currencies in each timeframe in real time .

BUY/SELL Analysis (real-time)

INTEREST RATES/QUOTES (real time)

CALCULATORS/CONVERTERS (real time)


Real-Time Technical Analysis (BUY/SELL)
Real-time technical analysis of currency pairs, indices, stocks and commodities.



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Live Indices (CFDs)
Live rates and current standings of CFDs

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Summary of Currencies (BUY/SELL across Timeframes)

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Summary of Commodities (BUY/SELL across Timeframes)

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Summary of Indices (BUY/SELL across Timeframes

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Single Pair Currency Cross Rates
Select a default pair and the App pulls out
all the corresponding cross pairs. 


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Advanced Commodity Quotes


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Real-Time Interest Rates for Currencies


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Exchange Rate Table


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Comprehensive Leading Stock Quotes


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Currency Converter

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Profit Calculator
Use this tool to calculate your trade's profit or loss for all major pairs and cross currency pairs, and get the results in one of eight major account currencies.

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Forex Pip Calculator
The Forex Pip Calculator gives you the value per pip in your account currency for all major currency pairs. All values are based on real-time currency rates.

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Margin Calculator
Calculates the amount of funds needed in order to hold open positions based on your trading account’s margin ratio.

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Generate basic Fibonacci retracement and extension values in both up and down trends.

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Copyright: Image (ID:10053141) courtesy of dream designs / FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Rabu, 10 September 2014

How I Trade The News - Part 3 Final Series

Image courtesy of Stuart Miles / FreeDigitalPhotos.net
In the previous section, we looked at the materials i use in trading the news and setting up my chart. I also explained some essential steps that helps me get set for the news, and some important market signs to look out prior to the news release.

In this conclusive part I'll clearly explain the trade actions (best pairs to trade), order placement/planning, chart setup, managing the trades and some other tips i use to trade the news. Before we start lets see some pre and after news event in the charts below.

INFO: "To straddle or not to straddle? Which is better? See; Straddling Vs Auto Click Trading System".
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRSE1UTExPLTVtd2M/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRdFlsYm40ZlRTNzQ/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRVmxiRXFuV1VJSVE/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge

Setting Up The Chart
In order to manage my system resources I do not setup every chart with the template above. Some of the items in the template require consistent data download and updates, which is capable of impacting the platform's efficiency during high impact news release. The session time indicator and pivot indicator are proprietary indicators designed by Forex21 (ProFx3.0.5). They are not included in the download link. (Download full chart setup materials: Zip File ).

I recommend 30 Minutes chart. Be very careful trading the news with lower timeframes.

First Thing First - What Pair Should I Trade?
HotForex Gold & SilverA deep understanding of Forex currencies with regards to their correlation, similarities, dominance, and political/economic relevance with other currencies would help you to an extent to know which pairs are best to trade for a particular news release. Also it is common for some currencies to be correlated with commodities & precious metals like Gold and Oil. The simple principle in news trading is that a good or bad economic outlook on a currency would positively or negatively reflect on its pair. For example if the UK CPI meets investors expectation for a particular period then some of the weaker pairs with the British Pound will experience a sudden negative effect because investors (traders) will sell them off and buy the GBP. So traders most often lookout for the stronger and weaker currency pairs to trade, while avoiding correlating pairs.

TIP: There is a utility designed by Henry Liu (www.currencynewstrading.com), which displays the real time economic outlook of currencies. The utility helps to decide which pair should be traded against each other. Download Henry Liu's Currency Strength Meter.

Basic rule of selecting a currency pair:
Auto/Manual News Trading EA
1. In expectation of a positive news outcome, BUY the stronger currency, and SELL the weaker one.
2. In expectation of a negative news outcome, SELL the dominant stronger currency, and BUY a relative stronger one. In some cases the weaker currencies could be bought but the position should not be held for too long.

CAUTION: In some cases we've seen a good
economic outlook on some country's economic data but with an opposite reaction after the news release. This implies that a positive economic outlook of a currency does not mean you have to buy it and sell the weaker currency. It is necessary to consider other fundamental macro economic factors coupled with the recent economic performance history of the currency.
TOOL: Comprehensive list of all the news trading items with the recommended pairs to trade. Recommended Currency Pairs For News Trading

TRADE ACTIONS
Before you begin ensure you've understood pre-news market signs, and market behaviour prior to news release else refer to Part 2. Also you must have selected the right pairs to trade the news.

What Pairs Should I Trade?:
It is extremely important you pick the right pairs for every news trading. The rule of thumb is to pair the stronger/weaker currency pairs. In some cases you can trade certain commodities and precious metals also. For further guidance refer to: Recommended Pairs For News Trading.
 
Snapshot of Henry Liu's Currency Strength Meter

Placing Orders
Generally wait for at least 10 - 15 minutes before placing pending orders. This gives you a clearer picture of the best place to set pending orders. There are various methods i use in placing pending orders depending on the type of news and market initial reaction. Here are the two (2) main methods:

1. If The Market Is Static (i.e no quick up and down irrational movements):
Prior to most high impact news release, the market often times becomes static or move in a very narrow channel. This is one of the best market signs for news trading. In this case I set pending orders manually or with the guide of the Simple_SR Indicator. (For Take Profit, Stop Loss & Trailing Stop see Trade Management).

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRN3Z3alpRaksxMFE/edit?usp=sharing
Illustration of narrow movement of price prior to the news release. Click to enlarge

2. If The Market Is Erratic (i.e. quick up and down small movements few minutes to the news release):
In this case the market reacts to traders psychology/sentiments towards the expectation of the news release. This is witnessed few minutes to the news release with a slow but steady movement of price to a direction and then it halts, goes back and continues again but not cutting across a certain price level or forming a resistance at a certain level. This often occurs when the analysis of the economic news components shows a high probability of an actual outcome. In other words there is a sure tendency by traders that the news outcome would certainly come out as expected. In this scenario it is quite difficult to place pending orders due to the uncertainty of the release, which could turn out with a disappointing result. In most cases if you are not patient and careful, your pending orders would be triggered before the actual time of the news release and this can be very disastrous if the expectation comes out against the triggered order.

Follow the steps below to set pending orders for this kind of scenario:

Step 1: Wait for at least 7 - 10 minutes before the news release to study the pulse of the market. This will help you to determine the immediate highest high and lower lows of the first five to ten candles or more.

Step 2: Place orders a little bit higher or lower than where price formed a resistance or support.

Step 3: Cautiously keep an eye on the fluctuation of the market in order to modify the position so as to avoid your orders getting triggered before the news release.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRR1g3dTluMk13X3c/edit?usp=sharing
GBPUSD - Order Placement Prior to BOE Gov Carney's Speech - 9th Sept, 2014; 11:45am GMT +1. Click to Enlarge

https://www.blogger.com/Order%20Placement%20Prior%20to%20BOE%20Gov%20Carney%27s%20Speech%20-%209th%20Sept,%202014;%2011:45am%20GMT%20+1.%20Click%20to%20Enlarge
GBPJPY - Order Placement Prior to BOE Gov Carney's Speech - 9th Sept, 2014; 11:45am GMT +1. Click to Enlarge

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRQTFfM0VyM3hWUE0/edit?usp=sharing
GBPCAD - Order Placement Prior to BOE Gov Carney's Speech - 9th Sept, 2014; 11:45am GMT +1. Click to Enlarge


How Much Order Should I Place?
HotForex Tight SpreadThis depends on your money management rules, broker spreads, and account size. You must understand that most brokers increase their spreads during news release. Not all brokers are news friendly so exercise great caution when selecting a broker if you are news trader. Personally in some very few cases i trade large lot sizes because of the certainty of the news release and market signs. However I do not advise you do the same. Ensure you do not trade more than 10% of your account size or free margin. It could be very dangerous.

TIP: To see the effects of lot sizes on news trading, carry out tests with Forex Simulation Tools.

Trade Management (Stop Loss, Take Profit, Reversals, Spikes, e.t.c.)
Ideally stop loss for Sell Stop pending orders should be placed beneath the recent support line or depending on the type of news they can be placed at a safer distance to avoid price fluctuations and and instant reversals that will erroneously hit the stop loss. Often times I have experienced instant price reversals within seconds or few minutes after the news release. This causes the stop loss to some pips above the resistance line as well.

Personally I do not have any fixed rule for Take Profit because I always use Trailing Stops to manage the trades. I recommend using the minimal trailing stop of 30 points & 50 points. 

INFO: An instant spike in a very high impact news release can move the market as far as 30 - 40 pips in few seconds, and then over 100 pips hours later. If you are trading the spike then stick to 20 - 30 pips maximum.



TIP: When a sharp spike occurs there are 80% chances of an instant reversal. In some cases the best time to enter a news trade is during the price reversal (i.e enter in the opposite direction of the reversal).

Trading Press Conference Speeches/Statements
Trading this type of news is quite difficult but very lucrative if you know how to interpret the statements of the speaker. Financial/Economic speeches or reports such as ECB President Speech/Press Conference, US FOMC Statements, BOJ Press Conference, BOE Governor's Speech, e.t.c usually come with very high impact due to the personalities involved, and the effects of their policy statements.

TIP: News speeches are interpreted into Hawkish or Dovish statements. Hawkish statements are aggressive. For example when the authority of a Federal Reserve Bank is bent on favouring an increase in interest rate or showing clear signs of imminent implementation of stimulus then that is a Hawkish Statement. The opposite of this is Dovish.
Since press conferences and speeches is more of an audible conversation you will need the following news services media to conveniently trade them:
  1. News Wire Services: - Reuters, Associated Press, Agence France Presse, BNO News, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, All Headline News, United Press International, e.t.c
  2. Satellite Cable Network Services (Business News): - CNBC, Bloomberg Television  Fox Business Network, MSNBC, e.t.c.
  3. Radio: - RANSquawk.com, FXMMradio, e.t.c.
Personally i most often do not hook up with them except for CNBC Squawk on Television. I use either of the news trading methods to trade news speeches.

Documentation
It is a good practice to document your trades by leaving comments. This helps to analyze your performance on your trade journals. 
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRZjNRbEJDRVA5QlE/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge

Other Tips & Guidelines
  1. Cancel or delete pending orders immediately if a conflicting release comes out. 
  2. Do not setup your trades 20 minutes or more before the news release.
  3. If you have an existing position on the currency you wish to trade the news, either adjust the stop loss or close the position before the news release.
  4. In most cases orders cannot be manually modified or entered 1 - 2 minutes before the news release. In fact it is suicidal. Only automated (EA) systems have the capability to do so but not all the time due to platform hangs and server overloads.
  5. Avoid using too tight stop loss.
  6. Ensure that you have taken care of all physical distractions prior to trading the news.
  7. Consult news expert pre-analysis and match it with your decisions before trading the news.

We've finally come to the conclusive part of this series. Feel free to leave your comments, inquiries and suggestions.

Happy Trading.



    Rabu, 20 Agustus 2014

    List of Recommended Pairs For Forex News Trading


    GUIDELINES: The recommended pairs were derived from the historical behavioral pattern of currency pairs during
    Automatic News Trading EA
    news release taking into consideration the economy outlook of the strength and weakness of the pairs. 


    To trade the news e.g. Australian Building Approval i would pair the (AUD) with any of the recommended pairs like USD, or JPY. I strongly advise trading against the weaker pairs for anticipated positive outcome on the major currencies, and counter/opposite or middle/stronger pairs for anticipated negative outcome. For more guidelines: See the article on how i trade the news Part 1, 2 & 3. 

    Please see risk disclaimer notice below before applying any of these recommendations.

    Type in the box below to Find or Filter news in the table



    S/N COUNTRY NEWS RECOMMENDED PAIRS
    1Australia (AUD)Building ApprovalsUSD, JPY, CHF, NZD
    2Australia (AUD)Retail Sales m/mUSD, JPY, CAD, CHF, NZD
    3Australia (AUD)Employment ChangeUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, NZD
    4Australia (AUD)Unemployment RateUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, NZD
    5Australia (AUD)CPI q/qUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, NZD
    6Australia (AUD)RBNZ Rate StatementUSD, JPY, NZD, CAD
    7Australia (AUD)PPI q/qUSD, JPY
    8Australia (AUD)RBA Rate StatementUSD, JPY, EUR, CAD
    9Australia (AUD)Trade BalanceUSD, CAD, JPY
    10Canada (CAD)Trade BalanceUSD, GBP, JPY, EUR
    11Canada (CAD)Ivey PMIUSD, GBP, JPY, EUR
    12Canada (CAD)Building PermitsUSD, GBP, JPY
    13Canada (CAD)Employment ChangeUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    14Canada (CAD)Unemployment RateUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    15Canada (CAD)Manufacturing Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY
    16Canada (CAD)Bank of Canada (BOC) Monetary Policy ReportUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    17Canada (CAD)Bank of Canada (BOC) Rate StatementUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    18Canada (CAD)Bank of Canada (BOC) Press ConferenceUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    19Canada (CAD)Core Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    20Canada (CAD)Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY
    21Canada (CAD)Core CPI m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    22Canada (CAD)GDP m/mUSD, JPY, GBP, EUR, AUD
    23China (CNY)Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, EUR, CAD
    24China (CNY)CPI y/yUSD, GBP, CHF, EUR, CAD
    25China (CNY)PPI y/yUSD, GBP, CHF
    26China (CNY)Trade BalanceUSD, GBP, EUR
    27China (CNY)GDP q/qUSD, GBP, CAD, CHF, AUD
    28China (CNY)HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, EUR, CAD
    29Euro (EUR)French Flash Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, JPY
    30Euro Zone (EUR)CPI Flash Estimate y/yUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    31Euro Zone (EUR)Core CPI Flash Estimate y/yUSD, GBP
    32Euro Zone (EUR)Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    33Euro Zone (EUR)Unemployment RateUSD, GBP, JPY, AUD, CAD
    34Euro Zone (EUR)ECB Press ConferenceUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD, AUD, GOLD, CHF
    35Euro Zone (EUR)ECB President Draghi SpeaksUSD, JPY, GBP, AUD, CAD, GOLD
    36France (CHF)CPI m/mUSD, JPY, GBP, CAD
    37German States (EUR)German Prelim CPI m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, AUD, CAD
    38Germany (EUR)German Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    39Germany (EUR)German ZEW Economic SentimentUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    40Germany (EUR)German Flash Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, JPY
    41Japan (JPY)Monetary Policy StatementUSD, GBP, EUR
    42Japan (JPY)Bank of Japan (BOJ) Press ConferenceUSD, GBP, EUR, CAD
    43New Zealand (NZD)CPI q/qUSD, JPY, AUD, CHF
    44New Zealand (NZD)Trade BalanceUSD, JPY, CHF, AUD
    45New Zealand (NZD)Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor SpeechUSD, JPY, CHF
    46New Zealand (NZD)Employment Change q/qUSD, JPY, CHF, AUD
    47New Zealand (NZD)Unemployment RateUSD, JPY, CHF, AUD
    48UK (GBP)Manufacturing PMIUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR
    49UK (GBP)Construction PMIUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    50UK (GBP)Services PMIUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    51UK (GBP)Halifax HPI m/mUSD, JPY, EUR
    52UK (GBP)Manufacturing Production m/mUSD, CAD, JPY, CHF, NZD
    53UK (GBP)CPI y/yUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR
    54UK (GBP)Bank of England (BOE) Governor SpeechUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, CHF
    55UK (GBP)Retail Sales m/mUSD, CAD, JPY
    56UK (GBP)Claimant Count ChangeUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    57UK (GBP)MPC Asset Purchase Facility VotesUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    58UK (GBP)MPC Official Bank Rate VotesUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    59UK (GBP)Unemployment RateUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, CHF
    60UK (GBP)Prelim GDP q/qUSD, CAD, JPY, CHF
    61UK (GBP)Bank of England (BOE) Inflation ReportUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, CHF
    62USA (USD)Unemployment ClaimsEUR, JPY, NZD, AUD, CAD
    63USA (USD)ISM Manufacturing PMIEUR, JPY, NZD, AUD, CAD
    64USA (USD)Fed Chairman Bernanke SpeaksJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP, AUD
    65USA (USD)FOMC StatementJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP,
    66USA (USD)ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIEUR, JPY, NZD
    67USA (USD)Trade BalanceJPY, NZD, EUR
    68USA (USD)ADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeJPY, NZD, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    69USA (USD)Unemployment ClaimsJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    70USA (USD)Non-Farm Employment ChangeJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    71USA (USD)Unemployment RateJPY, NZD, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    72USA (USD)Core Retail Sales m/mJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    73USA (USD)Retail Sales m/mJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    74USA (USD)PPI m/mJPY, NZD, EUR
    75USA (USD)Core PPI m/mJPY, NZD, EUR, CAD
    76USA (USD)Core CPI m/mJPY, NZD, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    77USA (USD)Fed Chairman (Bernanke) SpeechJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    78USA (USD)Existing Home SalesJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP
    79USA (USD)New Home SalesJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP, CAD
    80USA (USD)Core Durable Goods Orders m/mEUR, NZD, JPY, AUD
    81USA (USD)Durable Goods Orders m/mEUR, NZD, AUD
    82USA (USD)Pending Home Sales m/mEUR, JPY, NZD
    83USA (USD)Federal Reserve Chairman Statement JPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF



    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRdll4RDdXZnpvMGM/edit?usp=sharingDownload this sheet to your computer.

    HotForex Tight Spread
     


    http://quantina-intelligence.com/forex/index.php?route=product/product&product_id=65&tracking=53eb5931a1644



    RISK DISCLAIMER NOTICE: News Trading is associated with extreme volatility, which has the capacity to cause undesired effects on your account. The outcome from news release cannot be fully predicted, and released figures are sometimes subjected to reviews without notice. The negative effect of this is capable of causing huge draw down in your account in a split of seconds especially when you over leverage. There are strong possibilities that certain unexpected change in some economic factors could cause strange behaviour on currency pairs hence FXTradeCity would not be held liable for any undesired results arising from the decisions taken by you when applying these recommendations. Please use Stop Loss, seek further financial advice, and apply best discretion always.

    Selasa, 12 Agustus 2014

    How I Trade The News (Tools, Setup, Source) - Part 2

    In the previous part i outlined some basic facts about News Trading, and the major currencies/investments that attracts investors, which drives the market.

    This section reveals step by step guide on how i trade the news with sample illustrations. The first step is the introduction of some vital materials i use.

    1st Step: Setup Materials
    The charts below illustrates some tools i used to setup my chart to get prepared for news release.

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRSnJ5Y2VreHlXNmc/edit?usp=sharing
     Click image to enlarge...


    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRZy1QaEExVVFvQms/edit?usp=sharing
     Click image to enlarge...

    The 1st picture shows a sample of my chart setup containing some tools that alerts me when a news is about to be released at a specified time configured by me. It also keeps me informed of upcoming and past news events. The setup also contains a dynamic Support & Resistance Indicator as well as a dynamic Pivot Point, which acts as a guide to help me study the psychology of the market and to locate the best places to place orders. The One Click Trading
    One Click Trading
    tool is also part of the chart setup. I use it to place quick order(s) during a quick counter retracement or to trade spike trade reversals.


    Download My Trade Setup Indicators Here: https://docs.google.com/uc?export=download&id=0B2cGd02M-NmRV3ZBckc5ajdjVEE


    Titans


    The 2nd chart is a little different from the the 1st chart only for the news economic tool which displays the actual release on the chart. However the release is not as fast as other 3rd party news engine sources, so i rarely use it.

    Other important resources:
    1. Forex Factory
    2. My personal News Calender on my blog.
    3. Henry Liu's pre-news analysis
    4. News Trading EAs (I seldom use them)
    5. Cable/Satelite Network (for live speeches, press release, interviews, e.t.c.)

    2nd Step: Get Pre-News Release Schedule 
    I get this weekly from several sources to get me prepared adequately. When reviewing the news calendar or schedule for the week I put more interest on the impact and the time schedule. Getting this information on a Sunday before the beginning of the working week is the best. It helps me to plan adequately for the week or days ahead most especially for midnight news release due to my geographic location.
    Apparently there are far lesser economic activities on Sundays around the World except in some Asian Markets.
    Lookout for daily analysis of the news release hours or if possible a day before. Henry Liu's pre news analysis is one of the best i can recommend. Apart from analyzing the expectations of the news release, they offer trade guidelines on the best pairs to trade.   

    High impact news are the best to trade. However their impact is still subject to amount of data released. So not all of them could be profitable. Therefore take the advise or guidelines of pre-news analysis from experts seriously.


    HotForex Best brooker

    3rd Step: Watch For Signs Prior To The News Release
    Watch out for certain market signs that indicates the likeliness of a possible high impact or apparent closeness to a news release. See some of the signs below:

      - Narrow price movement extending for hours before the news release.
           

        - Pre-news reaction. In some cases there is a slight or consistent push in the market arising from traders sentiments towards the expected outcome of the news release. Be very careful with this sign. It's most often seen with an engulfing candle pattern.


          - A very slow or an abrupt halt in the market movement. It is what i call the market quiet time. This sign means the market participants (i.e. bulls/bears) are waiting earnestly or holding back for an important information, which would decide the long or short term direction of the market. It's one of the major positive sign of an upcoming news release with a very high impact. This sign helps me to detect which pairs are likely going to have a greater impact.

          - Inconsistent and continuous series of candle patterns (doji's, hammers, inverted hammers, kickers, e.t.c.). The inconsistent candle patterns is a display of the irrational reaction of the market to an upcoming news release.

           
          4th Step: Place Orders
          100% BonusThis should be done systematically. You need to understand the signs, and market behavior before placing orders. There are cases where your orders would be triggered at the wrong time due to what i call tremor of the market (i.e. mini shocks before the real impact). So placing of orders is a dynamic thing. It might require constant modification until the news release.

          News release accounts for a higher percentage of market volatility, and hence can cause irrational price feed lags, which results to error messages such as "Trade Context Busy", "Invalid SL/TP", "Requote", platform hang, e.t.c. More often traders blame their brokers for this but it is not entirely their fault. The steps presented here reveals a way out of this problem.

          In the final part we will learn which pairs are the best to trade for a particular news release, and how to place orders and manage them.

          Meanwhile i recommend looking up on our article: Forex Currency Pairs & How They Relate.

          Watch out for Part 3.


          Image (News Dice) courtesy of Stuart Miles / FreeDigitalPhotos.net

          Selasa, 22 Juli 2014

          Discovered Secrets of JohnPaul77 Forex Signal Services - Exclusive From MQL5.com

          JohnPaul77 actually known as Traders Family are a group of Forex enthusiast and experts who came with the idea of building a community of Forex traders in Indonesia. They offer trade recommendations (Forex Signal Services) in various social platforms including MQL5.com community signal services. 

          Their proficiency in Forex has kept them at the Top of the table consistently for several months even up to years amongst over 2,160 MT4 Signal Providers in MQL's community signal services.

          HotNews! Hotforex Launches MQL 4 & 5 Forex Signals On Their Trading Platform. Click here for more info.....



          The secret of their success has been a subject in the minds of his subscribers and other interested traders. The only information available to us is the insufficient summary of their system posted on their signal services page on Mql5.com, which is not sufficient enough to tell what is behind their trading strategy.  However thanks to the recent interview conducted by MQL5 team and the Traders Family, which opened up a lot we can learn from them to make us better traders.

          Do they rely on EAs?, Manual Strategies? or Special Indicators? Are they bankers? Well lets find out from the excerpt of the interview conducted on 11th July, 2014.


          Hello! Could you please introduce yourself and your team members? 
          My name is Tito Hayunanda and the rest of our trader’s team are Lorry Marthias, Hendro Sasmito and Levi Giovanni.
           

          The name of John Paul is an alias. Why did you take it?
          John Paul is actually our “God Father” who gathered us in one team five years ago. He is the one who taught us everything about Forex business. We used to be gamers, and as the time goes by, we are more dedicated to trading than to doing business. We took his name in recognition of his invaluable help.
           

          HotForex Bonus


          What attracts you in Forex and social trading?
          There are three reasons why we have chosen Forex:
           
          1. Two-way opportunities investment
          In Forex, we are able to adapt to the market conditions, no matter if they are bullish or bearish. Any other investment puts us on hope and makes us pray for price increases. It is too dependent on other people, we assume. In short, only in Forex we can really ignore the economic conditions and conduct maneuvers to follow the fluctuations.

          2. The most liquid investment 
          In Forex, we can quickly disburse our funds whenever we need that. Even some brokers can transfer the funds in a few minutes. Its 24-hour market makes it even more beautiful, since we can always receive the current market price without the need to bargain with others.





          3. High-return investment
          Some might say that Forex is a high-risk and high-return investment. We believe it is because they don’t use a proper risk management. If they do, then it could become a low-risk and high-return investment. In a year, we are able to get at least 50% of return. What kind of investment could possibly be higher than that?

          Please note that we always say “investment” because it really is. At least, that’s how we treat it, while most people don’t. It’s not a “get-rich-quickly” business, in which we can judge the results day by day. It becomes a “get-poor-quickly” business instead for those who chase fabulous profits. Maybe that is the reason why we have survived in this industry until now. To be honest, we were surprised to know that it is so hard to find a portfolio older than 2 years. Surprisingly, our account is the oldest one in MQL5!

          We think that social trading is the best solution not only for Forex industry, but also for the entire investment world. It has grown into a fully controlled investment. Thanks to social trading, now all investors are connected to each other, and they can have full control of their assets with their own suitable risk.



           
          So, you are a team of traders. But who exactly controls your account monitored at Trading Signals? Is it managed by one or several persons?
          The current account on MQL5.com is managed by me and Hendro. However, we combine the analysis from all four of us, so that we are able to detect every possible opportunity. After we all do our analysis, Hendro and I choose, which pair to trade. For the most part (95%), we rely on technical analysis.

           
          How different is your forecast compared to the ones of your team members?
          We all do technical analysis, and then we correlate it with the economic news to estimate the usual daily range. We apply different methods – some of us use chart patterns, while others may prefer candlestick patterns. Finally, we combine all analysis and decide on the best way to enter the market based on risk/reward ratio. Basically, we trade only when the risk is worth it.


          I am sure that many traders are already anticipating my next question. What tools of technical analysis do you use?
          Believe it or not, we only apply the most basic strategy everyone forgets about – support and resistance levels. We just use horizontal lines and that’s it.

           
          Could you please be more specific on how you make your decisions? Suppose that today is May 1, and I think that EURUSD will go up for 300 points. However, one of my team mates believes that the pair will go down, while the third one has his own idea. But finally, we are still able to come up with a trading decision: “Buy EURUSD with Take Profit of 100 points”. Can you provide such an example from your everyday activity?
          Yes, we can. Suppose that one of us thinks that EURUSD is still in a bullish trend with the movement of 70 points based on the normal daily range. But then the second guy detects a double top chart pattern. After that pattern is fulfilled, the price movement becomes bigger, while the risk usually decreases. In that case, we prefer to put a Sell Limit order at the double top level instead of following the bullish trend. Basically, we are working intraday, so we do not really focus on long-term trends.


          Why have you chosen these analytical tools instead of others (for instance, Bill Williams tools)? Do you think your strategy is better than others?
          We have been using this strategy for more than 3 years now, and it remains profitable so far. So why would we change it? Besides, the tools you have mentioned are not able to detect daily range changes and major economic events.


          Why do you need a team? It seems to me, that all this can be made by one person, while the most part of the analysis can be performed by an Expert Advisor.
          A single person may conduct a good analysis and make a trading decision. But there is also an emotional side that matters as well. That is why we always need other team members to remind us of controlling ourselves. As for Expert Advisors, we see that many traders trust them too much. But as I have already said, no trading robot or an indicator is able to detect daily range changes. Manual labor is always very expensive, isn’t it?

           
          You are doing very well for a long time now receiving much profit from trading. Why have you decided to distribute your trading signals and thus, share your results with other traders?
          We are traders, and what we need is a good broker. The reputation of Forex industry is worsening with each passing day, especially in our country (Indonesia). We simply want to prove that real traders actually exist, and trading for a living is not a dream. Some might say that only 5% of traders can survive in this industry. Hopefully, by distributing our signals, we can change that 5% into whatever possible bigger number. We believe that we can change the current public image of Forex industry.


          However, you have set a price for your signal. Have you done this deliberately?
          Initially, the signal was free, but we have received negative reviews from people reacting vehemently to every trade we made. Most of them could not afford the losses. Therefore, we have set the price. Now, only those who are willing to spend money and aware of the risk can follow our signal and leave comments about it. But we still keep the monthly subscription fee at the lowest possible level. We are not naive. If we can get extra income without extra effort, we see no reason why not to do it. By pricing our signals, we feel more responsibility for every trade we make. That helps us to enhance our trading skills and moves us closer to our cherished dream of becoming hedge fund managers.


          You have mentioned bad reputation of Forex industry in Indonesia. Why don’t you choose a broker from another country then?
          We did, but had the similar experience. Besides, it is more convenient to trade locally because we can simply visit our broker’s office in case there is a problem. By the way, even an international broker behaved unfairly towards us a couple of years ago.


          Suppose that you have a lot of subscribers from different countries, and they ask you to change the broker for more convenience. Will you comply?
          Indeed, many of our subscribers are constantly asking us to change the broker. However, it would be unreasonable for us to do so, since the broker’s trading conditions suit our system well. We feel comfortable enough with our current brokerage company, since they never interrupt our trades and have no problems with payments – that is the most important.

          Thank you for your interesting answers. We wish you good luck and many new subscribers



          There are some important tips worth taking to heart about their view of the word "investment"....;

          "Please note that we always say “investment” because it really is. At least, that’s how we treat it, while most people don’t. It’s not a “get-rich-quickly” business, in which we can judge the results day by day. It becomes a “get-poor-quickly” business instead for those who chase fabulous profits. Maybe that is the reason why we have survived in this industry until now. To be honest, we were surprised to know that it is so hard to find a portfolio older than 2 years. Surprisingly, our account is the oldest one in MQL5! "

          It's also quite amazing to note that the simple Support & Resistance approach is the core secret behind their successful trading strategy all this while. Although a few traders complained about their counter trend trading style which seems a bit awkward but somehow works for them. Recently they have been experiencing difficulties in their performance due to market inconsistencies in the past months being their worst ever. It's understandable because it reflected on other trading systems as well.

          However as a veteran trader i quite support systems that integrates support & resistance in their trading logic. Our 40 to 50 pips trading strategy works well with it.

          My advise: Before trying any Forex signal services use it on a demo account first.

          Happy Trading.




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