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Sabtu, 28 Februari 2015

News Trading Weekly Results


We developed this page to share our news trading results. Results from other news trading systems would be added in the near future alongside our results. Detailed account statement will be made available for download from the comments section below. Feel free to share your comments & your news trading results.



  KEY: A = Actual, F = Forecast, P = Previous -r = Revised (See Latest Result)

Date News Item A F PResult
Week 2 Feb
Feb 17, 2015

GBP CPI y/y

0.3%

0.3%

0.3%

-$203.00
Feb 18, 2015 UK MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
0-0-9
0-0-90-0-9$400.68
Feb 20, 2015 CAD Core Retail Sales m/m -2.3% -0.3% 0.6% -r $728.35
Week 2 Feb Total



$926.03

Week 4 Feb
Feb 23, 2015


US Existing Home Sales


4.82M


5.03M


5.07M -r


$258.04
Feb 25, 2015 BOE Gov Carney Speaks


No Trade
Feb 25, 2015 US Fed Chair Yellen Testifies


$41.89
Feb 25, 2015 ECB President Draghi Speaks


No Trade
Feb 26, 2015 UK Second Estimate GDP q/q  0.5% 0.5% 0.5% $20.20
Feb 26, 2015 CAD Core CPI m/m 0.2% 0.1% -0.3% $402.64
Feb 26, 2015 US Core CPI m/m  0.2% 0.1% 0.0% -$51.38
Feb 27, 2015 US Prelim GDP q/q 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% $930.16
Week 4 Feb Total


$101,601.55

Week 1 Mar
Mar 3, 2015

**new account
AUD Building Approvals m/m


7.9%


-1.8%


-3.3%


$143.69
Mar 3, 2015 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision  2.25% 2.0% 2.25% $20,805.31
Mar 3, 2015 GBP Construction PMI 60.1 59.0 59.1 $1,520.20
Mar 3, 2015 GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks


-$2,467.98
Mar 3, 2015 CAD GDP m/m 0.3% 0.2% -0.2% $23,537.55
Mar 4, 2015 AUD GDP q/q 0.5% 0.7% 0.4 -r -$14,439.78
Mar 4, 2015 GBP Services PMI 56.7 57.6 57.2 $719.15
Mar 4, 2015 US ADP Non-Farm Empl. Change 212K 219 250K -r $1,845.27
Mar 4, 2015 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 56.9 56.5 56.7 $13,698.28
Mar 4, 2015 EUR ECB Press Conference


$6,892.91
Mar 4, 2015 CAD BOC Rate Statement 0.75% 0.75% 0.75%  -$3,399.95
Mar 5, 2015 AUD Retail Sales m/m 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% No Trade
Mar 5, 2015 GBP Official Bank Rate 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%  No Trade
Mar 5, 2015 EUR Bid Rate 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% No Trade
Mar 5, 2015 CAD Ivey PMI 49.7 49.4 45.4 No Trade
Mar 6, 2015 US Unemployment Rate 5.5% 5.6% 5.7% Shared
Mar 6, 2015 US NFP Change 295K 240K 257K $40,315.24
Week 1 Mar Total


$84,439.89

Week 2 Mar
Mar 11, 2015


NZD Official Cash Rate/Statement


3.50%


3.50%


3.50%


$6,693.81
Mar 12, 2015 AUD Employment Change 15.6K 15.3K -14.6K -r Shared
Mar 12, 2015 AUD Unemployment Rate 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% $35,091.32
Mar 12, 2015 US Core Retail Sales m/m -0.1%0.6% -1.1% -r Shared
Mar 12, 2015 US Retail Sales m/m -0.6% 0.3% -0.8% *Near Margin Call*
Mar 12, 2015 US Unemployment Claim 289K 306K 325K *Near Margin Call*


Account Closed. See comments





Week 2 Apr New Test Account Opened - 100K





Apr 10, 2015 CAD Employment Change 28.7K -0.5K -1.0K $13,774.52
Apr 10, 2015 CAD Unemployment Rate 28.7K 6.9% 6.8% Shared
Week 3 Apr






Apr 14, 2015 GBP CPI y/y 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $882.29
Apr 14, 2015 US Core Retail Sales m/m 0.4% 0.7% 0.0% -r $7,711.35
Apr 14, 2015 US PPI m/m 0.2% 0.3% -0.5% Shared
Apr 14, 2015 US Retail Sales m/m 0.2% 0.3% -0.5% Shared
Apr 14, 2015 US PPI m/m 0.9% 1.1% -0.5% -r Shared
Apr 15, 2015 CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m -1.7% 0.2% -3.0% -r $3,137.36
Apr 15, 2015 EUR ECB Press Conference


$6,205.56
Apr 15, 2015 CAD BOC Interest Rate 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% $2,568.55
Apr 15, 2015 CAD BOC Press Conference


$5,669.61
Apr 16, 2015 AUD Employment Change 37.7K 14.9K 15.6K $15,947.08
Apr 16, 2015 AUD Unemployment Rate 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% Shared
Apr 17, 2015 USD Core CPI 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% -$20,842.27
Apr 17, 2015 CAD Core Retail Sales m/m 2.0% 0.7% -1.5% -r $24,443.35
Week 4 Apr






Apr 22, 2015 AUD CPI q/q 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% $13,552.74
Apr 22, 2015 GBP MPC Bank Rate Votes/APT 0-0-9 0-0-9 0-0-9 $3,545.60
Apr 22, 2015 USD Existing Home Sales 5.19M 5.04M 4.89M -r $5,463.62
Apr 23, 2015 GBP Retail Sales -0.5% 0.4% 0.6% -r -$9,448.33
Apr 23, 2015 USD New Home Sales 481K 514K 543K -r $10,094.58
Week 5 Apr 






Apr 28, 2015 GBP Preliminary GDP q/q0.3% 0.5% 0.6% -r $19,977.65
Apr 29, 2015 USD Advance GDP q/q0.2% 0.1% 2.2% -r No Trade
Apr 29, 2015 USD FOMC Statement0.3% 0.5% 0.6% -r $30,288.38
Apr 30, 2015 CAD GDP m/m0.0% -0.1% -0.2% -r $6,654.36
Apr 30, 2015 CAD BOC Gov Poloz Speech


$31,453.51
Apr 29, 2015 USD Advance GDP q/q0.2% 0.1% 2.2% -r No Trade
Apr 29, 2015 USD FOMC Statement0.3% 0.5% 0.6% -r $30,288.38
Apr 30, 2015 CAD GDP m/m0.0% -0.1% -0.2% -r $6,654.36
Apr 30, 2015 CAD BOC Gov Poloz Speech


$31,453.51
TOTAL End of April Test Account




$210,502.81

Week 1 May

New Test Account [$100,000.00]








May 5, 2015 AUD Cash Rate/Rate Statement2.00% 2.00% 2.25% $65,069.90
May 5, 2015 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI57.8 56.2 56.5 -$10,467.89
May 6, 2015 NZD Employment Change q/q0.7% 0.8% 1.2% Shared
May 6, 2015 NZD Unemployment Rate5.8 5.5% 5.8% -r $18,973.89
May 6, 2015 AUD Retail Sales m/m0.3% 0.4% 0.7% No Trade
May 6, 2015 GBP Services PMI59.5 58.6% 58.9 $6,732.90
May 6, 2015 USD ADP Non-Farm Empl.Change169K 199K 175K -r $13,138.55
May 7, 2015 AUD Employment Change-2.9K 4.5K 48.1K -r Shared
May 7, 2015 AUD Unemployment Rate6.2% 6.2% 6.1% -$25,834.52
May 8, 2015 USD Non-Farm Empl Change223K 228K 85K -r $27,325.66
May 8, 2015 USD Unemployment Rate5.4% 5.4% 5.5% Shared
May 8, 2015 CAD Employment Change-19.7K -4.5K 28.7K -$41,111.12
May 8, 2015 CAD Unemployment Rate6.8% 6.9% 6.8% Shared
May 8, 2015 USD FOMC Member Statement-19.7K -4.5K 28.7K $8,708.66

Week 2 May









May 11, 2015 Official Bank Rate0.50% 0.50% 0.50% No Trade
May 13, 2015 GBP Gov Carney Speaks


$42,891.13
May 13, 2015 US Core Retail Sales0.1% 0.4% 0.7% -r $36,132.45
May 13, 2015 NZD Retail Sales q/q2.7% 1.6% 1.7% $40,824.09

Week 4 May









May 19, 2015 GBP CPI y/y-0.1% 0.0% 0.0% $18,445.09
May 20, 2015 GBP MPC Vote/APT0-0-9 0-0-9 0-0-9 $3,136.65
May 21, 2015 GBP Retail Sales-0.1% 0.0% 0.0% $36,796.57
May 21, 2015 US Existing Home Sales5.04M 5.23M 5.21M -r $107.09
May 22, 2015 CAD Core CPI m/m0.1% 0.1% 0.6% Shared
May 22, 2015 CAD Core Retail Sales m/m0.5% 0.7% 1.8% -r -$23,656.60
May 22, 2015 CAD Retail Sales m/m0.7% 0.5% 1.5% -r Shared
May 22, 2015 US Core CPI m/m0.3% 0.2% 0.2 $47,371.44
May 22, 2015 US Fed Yellen Speech


-$38,226.84

Week 5 May









May 27, 2015 CAD BOC Rate Statement0.75% 0.75% 0.75% -$85,094.99
May 28, 2015 GBP 2nd GDP Estimate0.3% 0.4% 0.3% $9,923.29

TOTAL

End of May Test Account




$245,352.62

Week 1 June

New Test Account - $100,000.00








June 1, 2015 GBP Manufacturing PMI52.0 52.7 51.8 -r No Trade
June 1, 2015 US ISM Manufacturing PMI52.8 51.9 51.5 No Trade
June 2, 2015 AUD Cash Rate/Statement2.00% 2.00% 2.00% No Trade
June 2, 2015 GBP Construction PMI55.9 55.1 54.2 $7,858.78
June 3, 2015 AUD GDP q/q0.9% 0.7% 0.5% $32,432.12
June 3, 2015 GBP Services PMI56.5 59.2 59.5 No Trade
June 3, 2015 EUR Minimum Bid Rate0.05% 0.05% 0.05% Cancelled
June 3, 2015 US ADP Non-Farm Empl. Change201K 198K 165K -r $10,095.41
June 3, 2015 EUR ECB Press Conference


$5,061.99
June 3, 2015 US ISM Non-Man PMI55.7 57.1 57.8 $9,011.15
June 4, 2015 AUD Retail Sales m/m0.0%0.4% 0.2% -r $18,469.82
June 5, 2015 US Non-Farm Empl. Change280K 222K 221K -r $109,005.20
June 5, 2015 US Unemployment Rate5.5%5.4% 5.4% Shared
June 5, 2015 CAD Unemployment Change58.9K 10.2K -19.7K $104,569.64
June 5, 2015 CAD Unemployment Rate6.8%6.8% 6.8% Shared

Week 2 June









June 9, 2015 CPI y/y1.2%1.3% 1.5% No Trade
June 10, 2015 GBP Manufacturing Prod. m/m-0.4% 0.1% 0.4% $8,9.41.35
June 10, 2015 NZD Int Rate/Statement/Conf.3.25%3.50% 3.50% $335,430.47
June 11, 2015 AUD Employment Change42.0K 12.1K -13.7K -r $132,857.50
June 11, 2015 AUD Unemployment Rate6.0%6.2% 6.1% -r Shared
June 11, 2015 USD Core Retail Sales m/m0.1% 0.7% 0.1% $9,273.71
June 11, 2015 USD Retail Sales m/m1.2%1.1% 0.2% -r Shared

Week 3 June









June 15, 2015 CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m-2.1%1.3% 2.7% -r No Trade
June 16, 2015 GBP CPI y/y0.1% 0.1% -0.1% -$216,304.86
June 17, 2015 GBP MPC Votes/APT0-0-90-0-9 0-0-9 $84,760.73
June 17, 2015 USD FOMC Int Rate/Statement0.25% 0.25% 0.25% $39,554.14
June 17, 2015 USD FOMC Press Conference


$30,732.17
June 17, 2015 NZD GDP q/q0.2% 0.6% 0.7% r $130,201.88
June 18, 2015 CHF Libor Rate/MPC/Press Conf.-0.75%-0.75% -0.75% -$65,451.98
June 18, 2015 GBP Retail Sales m/m0.2% 0.0% 0.9% r No Trade
June 18, 2015 USD Core CPI m/m0.1%0.2% 0.3% -$142,354.31
June 19, 2015 CAD Core Retail Sales m/m-0.6% 0.3% 0.7% r  -$142,354.31
June 19, 2015 CAD Core CPI m/m0.4%0.3% 0.1% -$449,670.05

Week 4 June









June 22, 2015 USD Existing Home Sales5.35M5.27M 5.09M -r $30,723.88
June 23, 2015 USD New Home Sales546K524K 534K -r -$3,699.38
June 24, 2015 USD GDP q/q-0.2%-0.2% -0.7% No Trade

Week 5 June





June 30, 2015 CAD GDP m/m-0.1%0.1% -0.2% $179,403.06
TOTAL
End of June Test Account



$507,770.84

Week 1 July

New Test Account - $100,000.00




July 1, 2015 GBP Manufacturing PMI51.452.6 51.9 -r No Trade
July 1, 2015 GBP BOE Gov. Carney Speech


$1,501.02
July 1, 2015 US ADP Non-Farm Empl. Change237K219K 203K -r $4,338.68
July 1, 2015 US ISM Manufacturing PMI53.553.2 52.8 No Trade
July 2, 2015 US NFP223K231K 254K -r $55,076.87
July 2, 2015 US Unemployment Rate5.3%5.4% 5.5% Shared
July 3, 2015 AUD Retail Sales m/m0.3%0.5% 0.1% -r $12,417.92
July 3, 2015 GBP Services PMI58.557.4 56.5 $6,985.16

Week 2 July





July 7, 2015 AUD Int Rate/Rate Statement0.20%0.20% 0.20% -$179,242.24
Account Closed Margin Call



TOTAL



-$1,075.41

Week 1 Aug

New Test Account $100,000.00







Aug 3, 2015 UK Manufacturing PMI51.951.6 51.4 No Trade
Aug 3, 2015 US ISM Manufacturing PMI52.753.6 53.5 No Trade
Aug 4, 2015 AUD Retail Sales m/m0.7%0.5% 0.4% -r $25,870.32
Aug 4, 2015 AUD Int. Rate/Statement2.00%2.00% 2.00% $2,404.76
Aug 4, 2015 NZD Employment Change q/q0.3%0.5% 0.6% -r Margin Call
TOTAL *Test Account Stopped




September

New Test Account $100,000.00







TOTAL *Test Account Stopped




Week 1 Oct

New Test Account $100,000.00







Oct 2, 2015 US NFP142K201K 136K -r $59,417.95
Oct 2, 2015 US Unemployment Rate5.1%5.1% 5.1% Shared Result
Oct 5, 2015 UK Services PMI53.356.4 55.6 $16,420.15
Oct 5, 2015 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI56.958.0 59.0 No Trade
Oct 6, 2015 AUD Interest Rate2.00%2.00% 2.00% No Trade
Oct 8, 2015 UK MPC Bank Rate Vote1-0-81-0-8 1-0-8 No Trade
Oct 8, 2015 UK Official Bank Rate0.50%0.50% 0.50% No Trade
Oct 9, 2015 CAD Employment Change12.1K10.5K 12.0K No Trade
Oct 9, 2015 CAD Unemployment Rate7.1%6.9% 7.0% No Trade

Week 2 Oct





Oct 13, 2015 UK CPI y/y-0.1%0.0% 0.0% $34,242.34
Oct 14, 2015 US Core Retail Sales m/m-0.3%-0.1% -0.1% $41,055.61
Oct 15, 2015 AUD Empl. Change-5.1K7.2K 17.4K $11,100.29
Oct 15, 2015 AUD Unemployment Rate6.2%6.2% 6.2%Shared Result
Oct 15, 2015 US Core CPI m/m0.2%0.1% 0.1% $197,334.55

Oct 15, 2015 NZD CPI q/q0.3%0.2% 0.4% -$272,071.96

Week 3 Oct




Oct 21, 2015 CAD Int Rate/Press Conference0.50%0.50% 0.50% -$78,542.00
Oct 22, 2015 UK Retail Sales m/m1.9%0.3% -0.4% -r $73,357.13
Oct 22, 2015 CAD Core Retail Sales m/m0.0%0.2% 0.1% -r $48,150.97
Oct 22, 2015 EUR Interest Rate0.5%0.5% 0.5%$66,851.70
Oct 22, 2015 EUR ECB Press Conference


$83,103.31
Oct 23, 2015 CAD Core CPI m/m0.2%0.3% 0.2%$64,981.72

Week 4 Oct






Oct 26, 2015 US New Home Sales468K546K 529K -r No Trade
Oct 27, 2015 UK Prelim GDP q/q0.5%0.6% 0.7%-$10,800.07
Oct 28, 2015 AUD CPI q/q0.5%0.7% 0.7% $466,733.61
Oct 28, 2015 NZD Int Rate/Statement2.75%2.75% 2.75%-$366,639.26
Oct 29, 2015 US Advance GDP q/q1.5%1.6% 3.9% -r -$135,037.71
Oct 30, 2015 CAD GDP m/m



No Trade
Oct 29, 2015 US Advance GDP q/q1.5%1.6% 3.9% -r -$135,037.71
TOTAL


$397,099.83

Week 1 Nov

New Test Account $100,000.00




Nov 2, 2015 UK Manufacturing PMI55.551.3 51.8 No Trade
Nov 2, 2015 US ISM Manufacturing PMI50.150.050.2 No Trade
Nov 3, 2015 AUD Int. Rate/RBA Statement2.00%2.00% 2.00% No Trade
Nov 3, 2015 NZD Empl Change/Unem Rate-0.4%0.4%0.1% -r
$58,657.40
Nov 4, 2015 AUD Retail Sales m/m0.4%0.4% 0.4% No Trade
Nov 4, 2015 UK Services PMI54.9.54.653.3 No Trade
Nov 4, 2015 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI59.156.6 56.9 $30,585.60
Nov 5, 2015 UK MPC Official Bank Rate Vote1-0-81-0-81-0-8 No Trade
Nov 5, 2015 UK Interest Rate Decision0.50%0.50%0.50% No Trade
Nov 5, 2015 UK BOE Carney Speech


$16,895.83
Nov 6, 2015 CAD Empl. Change44.4K9.5K12.1K $121,773.60
Nov 6, 2015 CAD Unemployment Rate7.0% 7.1%7.1%
Shared
Nov 6, 2015 US NFP271K 181K137K -r
$385,309.33

Week 2 Nov






Nov 12, 2015 AUD Empl. Change58.6K 14.8K-0.8K -r
$308,691.18
Nov 12, 2015 AUD Unemployment Rate5.9% 6.2%6.2%
Shared Result
Nov 13, 2015 German Prelim GDP q/q0.3% 0.3%0.4%
No Trade
Nov 13, 2015 US Core Retail Sales m/m0.2% 0.4%-0.4% -r
$131,119.07

Week 3 Nov






Nov 17, 2015 UK CPI y/y-0.1% -0.1%-0.1%
$79,867.25
Nov 17, 2015 US Core CPI m/m0.2% 0.2%0.2% -$87,325.95
Nov 19, 2015 UK Retail Sales m/m-0.6% 0.4%1.7% -r
-$87,571.41
Nov 20, 2015 CAD Core CPI m/m0.3% 0.2%0.2% -$374,123.80
Nov 20, 2015 CAD Core Retail Sales m/m-0.5% -0.3%0.0%
Shared Result
TOTAL


$681,283.23

Week 1 Dec

New Test Account $100K - Closed




Dec 1, 2015 AUD Int. Rate/Rate Statement2.00% 2.00%2.00%
-$27,766.04
Dec 1, 2015 BOE Gov. Carney Speech

No Trade
Dec 1, 2015 UK Manufacturing PMI52.7 53.755.2 -r
No Trade
Dec 1, 2015 CAD GDP m/m-0.5% 0.1%0.1%
$64,299.69
Dec 1, 2015 US ISM Non Man PMI48.6 50.650.1
$2,676.94
Dec 3, 2015 EUR Interest Rate Decision0.05% 0.05%0.05%
Margin Call
TOTAL


$-120.00

Week 1 Dec

**New Test Account II $100,000.00




Dec 3, 2015 USD ISM Non-Man PMI55.9 58.159.1$11,378.66
Dec 4, 2015 AUD Retail Sales m/m0.5% 0.40.4No Trade
Dec 4, 2015 USD NFP211K 201K298K -r$25,334.26
Dec 4, 2015 CAD Empl. Change/Unem Rate-35.7K -9.7K44.4K$23,516.94

Week 2 Dec






Dec 9, 2015 NZD Interest Rate2.50% 2.50%2.75%Miss Trade
Dec 9, 2015 NZD RBNZ Press Conference


$11,645.55
Dec 10, 2015 AUD Empl. Change/Unem Rate71.4K -10.0K56.1K -rMiss Trade
Dec 10, 2015 CHF Libor Rate-0.75%-0.75%-0.75%Miss Trade
Dec 10, 2015 CHF SNB Press Conference


$29,528.78
Dec 10, 2015 UK Bank Rate Votes1-0-81-0-81-0-8Shared Result
Dec 10, 2015 UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%$111,487.37
Dec 11, 2015 US Core Retail Sales m/m0.4%0.3%0.1% -r$4,573.13

Week 3 Dec





Dec 15, 2015 UK CPI y/y 0.1% 0.1%-0.1%-$59,994.10
Dec 15, 2015 US Core CPI m/m0.2% 0.2%0.2%No Trade
Dec 16, 2015 US FOMC Interest Rate 0.50% 0.50%0.25%Missed Trade
Dec 16, 2015 US FOMC Press Conference$216,893.82
Dec 16, 2015 NZD GDP q/q 0.4%Pending
Dec 17, 2015 UK Retail Sales m/m1.7%0.4%-0.5% -rMissed Trade
Dec 18, 2015 CAD Core CPI m/m -0.3%0.0%0.3%$106,941.33
Dec 23, 2015 CAD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.0%
-0.5%-$451,659.85
TOTAL


$85,374.19


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Selasa, 30 Desember 2014

2014 Wrap Up - The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

2014 came with expectations, lots of promises, hopes, wild dreams, and hot pursuits. But for some it was a tale of laughter, tears, dreams torn apart, aims not reached, and for others a journey they never ventured. We at FXTradeCity experienced it all. There were times we got frustrated, and sometimes it was endless joy, however when we look back since the year began, there's a glimpse of smile on our face because every new day promises better things, and so we look forward to a better year ahead. So we gladly give thanks to God Almighty for His Grace, Strength, Provision & Blessings to us and you in the good and bad times.

Despite the turbulence in the market, FXTradeCity experienced a huge growth in its community. We like to say this was possible due to your posts, comments, and suggestions. No matter how strong the storm blew, we never let our dreams die, we stuck to our mission, to provide quality Forex information, assistance, & services for every trader across the globe to achieve financial freedom. We will continue to do this until the market runs dry.

However we had our regrets too. We got our accounts burnt once a while. We experienced challenges beyond the ordinary, which ended as a bitter lesson to us. We couldn't fully support some of our innovative programs like FXTradeCity Forex Signals, Live News Trading Room, and other programs we had in mind this year. We apologize to our teeming fans, and subscribers who waited eagerly for this. We hope to kick start these programs in 2015.

Looking back in 2014, there are some great lessons to learn, and some mistakes to avoid in the coming year. Some of the habits that made 2014 an ugly year for most traders was procrastination, fear, lack of right investment/knowledge, greed, and the major culprit was not using stop loss. Probably some accounts would have scaled through to 2015 if the accounts were protected with stop loss.

As we look forward to 2015, I encourage you to put the past behind, and be determined to do it right this time. Yes you can if you are willing.

Wish you a wonderful and prosperous 2015.


Rabu, 08 Oktober 2014

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Rabu, 10 September 2014

How I Trade The News - Part 3 Final Series

Image courtesy of Stuart Miles / FreeDigitalPhotos.net
In the previous section, we looked at the materials i use in trading the news and setting up my chart. I also explained some essential steps that helps me get set for the news, and some important market signs to look out prior to the news release.

In this conclusive part I'll clearly explain the trade actions (best pairs to trade), order placement/planning, chart setup, managing the trades and some other tips i use to trade the news. Before we start lets see some pre and after news event in the charts below.

INFO: "To straddle or not to straddle? Which is better? See; Straddling Vs Auto Click Trading System".
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRSE1UTExPLTVtd2M/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRdFlsYm40ZlRTNzQ/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRVmxiRXFuV1VJSVE/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge

Setting Up The Chart
In order to manage my system resources I do not setup every chart with the template above. Some of the items in the template require consistent data download and updates, which is capable of impacting the platform's efficiency during high impact news release. The session time indicator and pivot indicator are proprietary indicators designed by Forex21 (ProFx3.0.5). They are not included in the download link. (Download full chart setup materials: Zip File ).

I recommend 30 Minutes chart. Be very careful trading the news with lower timeframes.

First Thing First - What Pair Should I Trade?
HotForex Gold & SilverA deep understanding of Forex currencies with regards to their correlation, similarities, dominance, and political/economic relevance with other currencies would help you to an extent to know which pairs are best to trade for a particular news release. Also it is common for some currencies to be correlated with commodities & precious metals like Gold and Oil. The simple principle in news trading is that a good or bad economic outlook on a currency would positively or negatively reflect on its pair. For example if the UK CPI meets investors expectation for a particular period then some of the weaker pairs with the British Pound will experience a sudden negative effect because investors (traders) will sell them off and buy the GBP. So traders most often lookout for the stronger and weaker currency pairs to trade, while avoiding correlating pairs.

TIP: There is a utility designed by Henry Liu (www.currencynewstrading.com), which displays the real time economic outlook of currencies. The utility helps to decide which pair should be traded against each other. Download Henry Liu's Currency Strength Meter.

Basic rule of selecting a currency pair:
Auto/Manual News Trading EA
1. In expectation of a positive news outcome, BUY the stronger currency, and SELL the weaker one.
2. In expectation of a negative news outcome, SELL the dominant stronger currency, and BUY a relative stronger one. In some cases the weaker currencies could be bought but the position should not be held for too long.

CAUTION: In some cases we've seen a good
economic outlook on some country's economic data but with an opposite reaction after the news release. This implies that a positive economic outlook of a currency does not mean you have to buy it and sell the weaker currency. It is necessary to consider other fundamental macro economic factors coupled with the recent economic performance history of the currency.
TOOL: Comprehensive list of all the news trading items with the recommended pairs to trade. Recommended Currency Pairs For News Trading

TRADE ACTIONS
Before you begin ensure you've understood pre-news market signs, and market behaviour prior to news release else refer to Part 2. Also you must have selected the right pairs to trade the news.

What Pairs Should I Trade?:
It is extremely important you pick the right pairs for every news trading. The rule of thumb is to pair the stronger/weaker currency pairs. In some cases you can trade certain commodities and precious metals also. For further guidance refer to: Recommended Pairs For News Trading.
 
Snapshot of Henry Liu's Currency Strength Meter

Placing Orders
Generally wait for at least 10 - 15 minutes before placing pending orders. This gives you a clearer picture of the best place to set pending orders. There are various methods i use in placing pending orders depending on the type of news and market initial reaction. Here are the two (2) main methods:

1. If The Market Is Static (i.e no quick up and down irrational movements):
Prior to most high impact news release, the market often times becomes static or move in a very narrow channel. This is one of the best market signs for news trading. In this case I set pending orders manually or with the guide of the Simple_SR Indicator. (For Take Profit, Stop Loss & Trailing Stop see Trade Management).

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRN3Z3alpRaksxMFE/edit?usp=sharing
Illustration of narrow movement of price prior to the news release. Click to enlarge

2. If The Market Is Erratic (i.e. quick up and down small movements few minutes to the news release):
In this case the market reacts to traders psychology/sentiments towards the expectation of the news release. This is witnessed few minutes to the news release with a slow but steady movement of price to a direction and then it halts, goes back and continues again but not cutting across a certain price level or forming a resistance at a certain level. This often occurs when the analysis of the economic news components shows a high probability of an actual outcome. In other words there is a sure tendency by traders that the news outcome would certainly come out as expected. In this scenario it is quite difficult to place pending orders due to the uncertainty of the release, which could turn out with a disappointing result. In most cases if you are not patient and careful, your pending orders would be triggered before the actual time of the news release and this can be very disastrous if the expectation comes out against the triggered order.

Follow the steps below to set pending orders for this kind of scenario:

Step 1: Wait for at least 7 - 10 minutes before the news release to study the pulse of the market. This will help you to determine the immediate highest high and lower lows of the first five to ten candles or more.

Step 2: Place orders a little bit higher or lower than where price formed a resistance or support.

Step 3: Cautiously keep an eye on the fluctuation of the market in order to modify the position so as to avoid your orders getting triggered before the news release.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRR1g3dTluMk13X3c/edit?usp=sharing
GBPUSD - Order Placement Prior to BOE Gov Carney's Speech - 9th Sept, 2014; 11:45am GMT +1. Click to Enlarge

https://www.blogger.com/Order%20Placement%20Prior%20to%20BOE%20Gov%20Carney%27s%20Speech%20-%209th%20Sept,%202014;%2011:45am%20GMT%20+1.%20Click%20to%20Enlarge
GBPJPY - Order Placement Prior to BOE Gov Carney's Speech - 9th Sept, 2014; 11:45am GMT +1. Click to Enlarge

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRQTFfM0VyM3hWUE0/edit?usp=sharing
GBPCAD - Order Placement Prior to BOE Gov Carney's Speech - 9th Sept, 2014; 11:45am GMT +1. Click to Enlarge


How Much Order Should I Place?
HotForex Tight SpreadThis depends on your money management rules, broker spreads, and account size. You must understand that most brokers increase their spreads during news release. Not all brokers are news friendly so exercise great caution when selecting a broker if you are news trader. Personally in some very few cases i trade large lot sizes because of the certainty of the news release and market signs. However I do not advise you do the same. Ensure you do not trade more than 10% of your account size or free margin. It could be very dangerous.

TIP: To see the effects of lot sizes on news trading, carry out tests with Forex Simulation Tools.

Trade Management (Stop Loss, Take Profit, Reversals, Spikes, e.t.c.)
Ideally stop loss for Sell Stop pending orders should be placed beneath the recent support line or depending on the type of news they can be placed at a safer distance to avoid price fluctuations and and instant reversals that will erroneously hit the stop loss. Often times I have experienced instant price reversals within seconds or few minutes after the news release. This causes the stop loss to some pips above the resistance line as well.

Personally I do not have any fixed rule for Take Profit because I always use Trailing Stops to manage the trades. I recommend using the minimal trailing stop of 30 points & 50 points. 

INFO: An instant spike in a very high impact news release can move the market as far as 30 - 40 pips in few seconds, and then over 100 pips hours later. If you are trading the spike then stick to 20 - 30 pips maximum.



TIP: When a sharp spike occurs there are 80% chances of an instant reversal. In some cases the best time to enter a news trade is during the price reversal (i.e enter in the opposite direction of the reversal).

Trading Press Conference Speeches/Statements
Trading this type of news is quite difficult but very lucrative if you know how to interpret the statements of the speaker. Financial/Economic speeches or reports such as ECB President Speech/Press Conference, US FOMC Statements, BOJ Press Conference, BOE Governor's Speech, e.t.c usually come with very high impact due to the personalities involved, and the effects of their policy statements.

TIP: News speeches are interpreted into Hawkish or Dovish statements. Hawkish statements are aggressive. For example when the authority of a Federal Reserve Bank is bent on favouring an increase in interest rate or showing clear signs of imminent implementation of stimulus then that is a Hawkish Statement. The opposite of this is Dovish.
Since press conferences and speeches is more of an audible conversation you will need the following news services media to conveniently trade them:
  1. News Wire Services: - Reuters, Associated Press, Agence France Presse, BNO News, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, All Headline News, United Press International, e.t.c
  2. Satellite Cable Network Services (Business News): - CNBC, Bloomberg Television  Fox Business Network, MSNBC, e.t.c.
  3. Radio: - RANSquawk.com, FXMMradio, e.t.c.
Personally i most often do not hook up with them except for CNBC Squawk on Television. I use either of the news trading methods to trade news speeches.

Documentation
It is a good practice to document your trades by leaving comments. This helps to analyze your performance on your trade journals. 
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRZjNRbEJDRVA5QlE/edit?usp=sharing
Click to enlarge

Other Tips & Guidelines
  1. Cancel or delete pending orders immediately if a conflicting release comes out. 
  2. Do not setup your trades 20 minutes or more before the news release.
  3. If you have an existing position on the currency you wish to trade the news, either adjust the stop loss or close the position before the news release.
  4. In most cases orders cannot be manually modified or entered 1 - 2 minutes before the news release. In fact it is suicidal. Only automated (EA) systems have the capability to do so but not all the time due to platform hangs and server overloads.
  5. Avoid using too tight stop loss.
  6. Ensure that you have taken care of all physical distractions prior to trading the news.
  7. Consult news expert pre-analysis and match it with your decisions before trading the news.

We've finally come to the conclusive part of this series. Feel free to leave your comments, inquiries and suggestions.

Happy Trading.



    Rabu, 20 Agustus 2014

    List of Recommended Pairs For Forex News Trading


    GUIDELINES: The recommended pairs were derived from the historical behavioral pattern of currency pairs during
    Automatic News Trading EA
    news release taking into consideration the economy outlook of the strength and weakness of the pairs. 


    To trade the news e.g. Australian Building Approval i would pair the (AUD) with any of the recommended pairs like USD, or JPY. I strongly advise trading against the weaker pairs for anticipated positive outcome on the major currencies, and counter/opposite or middle/stronger pairs for anticipated negative outcome. For more guidelines: See the article on how i trade the news Part 1, 2 & 3. 

    Please see risk disclaimer notice below before applying any of these recommendations.

    Type in the box below to Find or Filter news in the table



    S/N COUNTRY NEWS RECOMMENDED PAIRS
    1Australia (AUD)Building ApprovalsUSD, JPY, CHF, NZD
    2Australia (AUD)Retail Sales m/mUSD, JPY, CAD, CHF, NZD
    3Australia (AUD)Employment ChangeUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, NZD
    4Australia (AUD)Unemployment RateUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, NZD
    5Australia (AUD)CPI q/qUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, NZD
    6Australia (AUD)RBNZ Rate StatementUSD, JPY, NZD, CAD
    7Australia (AUD)PPI q/qUSD, JPY
    8Australia (AUD)RBA Rate StatementUSD, JPY, EUR, CAD
    9Australia (AUD)Trade BalanceUSD, CAD, JPY
    10Canada (CAD)Trade BalanceUSD, GBP, JPY, EUR
    11Canada (CAD)Ivey PMIUSD, GBP, JPY, EUR
    12Canada (CAD)Building PermitsUSD, GBP, JPY
    13Canada (CAD)Employment ChangeUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    14Canada (CAD)Unemployment RateUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    15Canada (CAD)Manufacturing Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY
    16Canada (CAD)Bank of Canada (BOC) Monetary Policy ReportUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    17Canada (CAD)Bank of Canada (BOC) Rate StatementUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    18Canada (CAD)Bank of Canada (BOC) Press ConferenceUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    19Canada (CAD)Core Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    20Canada (CAD)Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY
    21Canada (CAD)Core CPI m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD
    22Canada (CAD)GDP m/mUSD, JPY, GBP, EUR, AUD
    23China (CNY)Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, EUR, CAD
    24China (CNY)CPI y/yUSD, GBP, CHF, EUR, CAD
    25China (CNY)PPI y/yUSD, GBP, CHF
    26China (CNY)Trade BalanceUSD, GBP, EUR
    27China (CNY)GDP q/qUSD, GBP, CAD, CHF, AUD
    28China (CNY)HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, EUR, CAD
    29Euro (EUR)French Flash Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, JPY
    30Euro Zone (EUR)CPI Flash Estimate y/yUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    31Euro Zone (EUR)Core CPI Flash Estimate y/yUSD, GBP
    32Euro Zone (EUR)Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    33Euro Zone (EUR)Unemployment RateUSD, GBP, JPY, AUD, CAD
    34Euro Zone (EUR)ECB Press ConferenceUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD, AUD, GOLD, CHF
    35Euro Zone (EUR)ECB President Draghi SpeaksUSD, JPY, GBP, AUD, CAD, GOLD
    36France (CHF)CPI m/mUSD, JPY, GBP, CAD
    37German States (EUR)German Prelim CPI m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, AUD, CAD
    38Germany (EUR)German Retail Sales m/mUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    39Germany (EUR)German ZEW Economic SentimentUSD, GBP, JPY, CAD
    40Germany (EUR)German Flash Manufacturing PMIUSD, GBP, JPY
    41Japan (JPY)Monetary Policy StatementUSD, GBP, EUR
    42Japan (JPY)Bank of Japan (BOJ) Press ConferenceUSD, GBP, EUR, CAD
    43New Zealand (NZD)CPI q/qUSD, JPY, AUD, CHF
    44New Zealand (NZD)Trade BalanceUSD, JPY, CHF, AUD
    45New Zealand (NZD)Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor SpeechUSD, JPY, CHF
    46New Zealand (NZD)Employment Change q/qUSD, JPY, CHF, AUD
    47New Zealand (NZD)Unemployment RateUSD, JPY, CHF, AUD
    48UK (GBP)Manufacturing PMIUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR
    49UK (GBP)Construction PMIUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    50UK (GBP)Services PMIUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    51UK (GBP)Halifax HPI m/mUSD, JPY, EUR
    52UK (GBP)Manufacturing Production m/mUSD, CAD, JPY, CHF, NZD
    53UK (GBP)CPI y/yUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR
    54UK (GBP)Bank of England (BOE) Governor SpeechUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, CHF
    55UK (GBP)Retail Sales m/mUSD, CAD, JPY
    56UK (GBP)Claimant Count ChangeUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    57UK (GBP)MPC Asset Purchase Facility VotesUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    58UK (GBP)MPC Official Bank Rate VotesUSD, CAD, EUR, JPY
    59UK (GBP)Unemployment RateUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, CHF
    60UK (GBP)Prelim GDP q/qUSD, CAD, JPY, CHF
    61UK (GBP)Bank of England (BOE) Inflation ReportUSD, CAD, JPY, EUR, CHF
    62USA (USD)Unemployment ClaimsEUR, JPY, NZD, AUD, CAD
    63USA (USD)ISM Manufacturing PMIEUR, JPY, NZD, AUD, CAD
    64USA (USD)Fed Chairman Bernanke SpeaksJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP, AUD
    65USA (USD)FOMC StatementJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP,
    66USA (USD)ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIEUR, JPY, NZD
    67USA (USD)Trade BalanceJPY, NZD, EUR
    68USA (USD)ADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeJPY, NZD, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    69USA (USD)Unemployment ClaimsJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    70USA (USD)Non-Farm Employment ChangeJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    71USA (USD)Unemployment RateJPY, NZD, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    72USA (USD)Core Retail Sales m/mJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    73USA (USD)Retail Sales m/mJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    74USA (USD)PPI m/mJPY, NZD, EUR
    75USA (USD)Core PPI m/mJPY, NZD, EUR, CAD
    76USA (USD)Core CPI m/mJPY, NZD, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    77USA (USD)Fed Chairman (Bernanke) SpeechJPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF
    78USA (USD)Existing Home SalesJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP
    79USA (USD)New Home SalesJPY, NZD, EUR, GBP, CAD
    80USA (USD)Core Durable Goods Orders m/mEUR, NZD, JPY, AUD
    81USA (USD)Durable Goods Orders m/mEUR, NZD, AUD
    82USA (USD)Pending Home Sales m/mEUR, JPY, NZD
    83USA (USD)Federal Reserve Chairman Statement JPY, NZD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, GOLD, CHF



    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2cGd02M-NmRdll4RDdXZnpvMGM/edit?usp=sharingDownload this sheet to your computer.

    HotForex Tight Spread
     


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    RISK DISCLAIMER NOTICE: News Trading is associated with extreme volatility, which has the capacity to cause undesired effects on your account. The outcome from news release cannot be fully predicted, and released figures are sometimes subjected to reviews without notice. The negative effect of this is capable of causing huge draw down in your account in a split of seconds especially when you over leverage. There are strong possibilities that certain unexpected change in some economic factors could cause strange behaviour on currency pairs hence FXTradeCity would not be held liable for any undesired results arising from the decisions taken by you when applying these recommendations. Please use Stop Loss, seek further financial advice, and apply best discretion always.