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Senin, 04 Januari 2016

News Trading Results - 2016

Our news trading experience has been wonderful ever since we developed a unique news trading strategy. The performance last year was great and there's a lot we still need to perfect in 2016.We intend to add the result of other news trading systems along with ours here. Feel free to share yours. See full 2015 results

*NEW: Good news.... We recently discovered a new trading strategy not on news trading. The trading strategy is currently being tested on the same account used for our news trading. Therefore we shall be sharing the results along with the news trading results here. For now we do not have a name for the strategy but it is identified here as Morning Rise or Night Sniper. More details soon.....

July Live Statistics - Source MT4i (*no update for July yet)

Monthly Performance Result
(Click On The Month To Display/Download Detailed Account Statement)
January
Capital $100,000.00
Profit   $266,038.60
February
Capital $10,000.00
Profit $12,492.54
March
Capital $10,000.00
Profit $149,703.87
April
Capital $10,000.00
Profit
$22.24
May
Capital $10,000.00
Profit
$31.53
June
Capital $10,000.00
Profit
$1,750.27
JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

 KEY: A = Actual, F = Forecast, P = Previous -r = Revised



Date News Item Act For PrvResult
January  **New Test Account $100,000.00



Week 1 Jan
Jan 4, 2016

US ISM Man PMI

48.2

49.1

48.6

No Trade
Jan 6, 2016 UK Services PMI55.555.655.9No Trade

US ADP Non-Farm Empl. Chg.257K193K211K -r-$24,653.42
Jan 8, 2016 US NFP292K203K252K -r$19,170.71

CAD Empl. Change22.8K10.4K-35.7K-$18,076.84

Week 2 Jan
Jan 14, 2016


AUD Empl. Change/Unem. Rate


-1.0K


-11.0K


74.9K -r


-$13,704.13

UK Bank Vote1-0-81-0-81-0-8No Trade

UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%No Trade
Jan 15, 2016 US Core Retail Sales-0.1%0.2%0.3% -r$3,091.3

Week 3 Jan
Jan 19, 2016


UK CPI y/y


0.2%


0.1%


0.1%


Missed Trade

NZD CPI y/y-0.5%-0.2%0.3%$62,361.69
Jan 20, 2016 US Core CPI m/m-0.1%0.2%0.2%Missed Trade

CAD Interest Rate0.50%0.25%0.25%Missed Trade

BOC Press Conference


Missed Trade
Jan 21, 2016EUR Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%No Trade

ECB Press Conference


$109,277.02
Jan 22, 2016UK Core Retail Sales-0.1%0.1%1.3% -rNo Trade

CAD Core CPI m/m-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%No Trade

CAD Core Retail Sales m/m1.1%0.4%0.0%No Trade

Week 4 Jan
Jan 27, 2016


AUD CPI q/q


0.4%


0.3%


0.5%


$33,030.07

US FOMC/Int. Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%-$45,730.47

NZD Int. Rate/Statement2.50%2.50%2.50%-$1,590.15
Jan 28, 2016UK Prelim GDP q/q0.5%0.5%0.4% -r-$47,657.17
Jan 29, 2016US Advanced GDP q/q0.7%0.8%2.0% -rNo Trade

CAD GDP m/m0.3%0.3%0.0% No Trade
TOTAL




$266,038.60

February
Week 1 Feb


**New Test Account $10,000.00




Feb 1, 2016UK Manufacturing PMI52.951.852.1 -r -$2,445.54

US ISM Manufacturing PMI48.248.648.2 $117.00
Feb 2, 2016NZD Employment Change q/q0.9%0.8%-0.5% -r Missed Trade

UK Services PMI55.655.455.5 -$1,468.81
Feb 3, 2016US ADP205K193K267K -r -$1,480.19

US ISM Non Man. PMI53.555.155.3No Trade
Feb 4, 2016UK Bank Vote0-0-91-0-81-0-8 $4,614.44

UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50% Shared Result
Feb 5, 2016US NFP151K189K262K -r -$513.16

CAD Employment Change-5.7K5.2K22.8K $236.93

Week 2 Feb









Feb 12, 2016US Core Retail Sales0.1%0.0%0.1% -r $695.81

Week 3 Feb









Feb 15, 2016NZD Retail Sales q/q1.2%1.4%1.5% -r -$764.66
Feb 18, 2016AUD Employment Change-7.9K12.9K-0.8K -r $746.71

AUD Unemployment Rate6.0%5.8%5.8% Shared Result
Feb 19, 2016UK Retail Sales m/m2.3%0.8%-1.4%-r$1,150.35

CAD Core CPI m/m0.3%0.2%-0.4%No Trade

CAD Core Retail Sales m/m-1.6%0.5%1.0%-rNo Trade

US Core CPI m/m0.3%0.2%0.1%$961.66

Week 4 Feb





Feb 26, 2016US Prelim GDP q/q


$642.01
TOTAL



$12,492.54

March
Week 1 Mar


New Test Account $10,000.00




Mar 1, 2016AUD Interest Rate2.00%2.00%2.00%Missed Trade

CAD GDP m/m0.2%0.1%0.3%$2,238.87

US ISM Non-Man PMI49.548.548.2$293.55
Mar 2, 2016AUD GDP q/q0.6%0.5%0.9%$3,750.55

US ADP Non-Farm 193K185K214K -r$-7.61
Mar 3, 2016UK Sevices PMI 52.755.155.6$60.00 #qu

US ISM Non-Man PMI 53.453.253.5-$1,108.81
Mar 4, 2016AUD Retail Sales m/m0.3%0.4%0.0%No Trade

US NFP242K195K272K -r$2,506.52
Week 2, Mar




Mar 9, 2016CAD Int. Rate/Statement0.5%0.5%0.5%-$642.23

NZD Interest Rates2.25%2.50%2.50%$23,835.21
Mar 10, 2016EUR Interest Rate0.00%0.05%0.05%$16,513.12

ECB Press Conference


$1,668.40
Mar 11, 2016CAD Empl. Change-2.3K10.2K-5.7K$5,441.57

CAD Unem. Rate7.3%7.2%7.2%Shared Result
Week 3, Mar




Mar 15, 2016US Core Retail Sales m/m-0.1%-0.2%-0.4% -r$966.52
Mar 16, 2016US Core CPI m/m0.3%0.2%0.3%$823.17

US Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%$26,535.79

US FOMC Press Conf.



$1,085.20

NZD GDP q/q0.9%0.7%0.9%$15,758.15
Mar, 17 2016AUD Empl. Change0.3K11.6K-7.4K -r$12,064.50

AUD Unem Rate5.8%6.0%6.0%Shared Result

CHF Libor Rate-0.75%-0.75%-0.75%No Trade

UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%$8,307.38

UK MPC Bank Rate Vote0-0-90-0-90-0-9Shared Result
Week 4, Mar
Mar 22, 2016UK CPI y/y0.3%0.4%0.3%$46,329.40
Mar 24, 2016UK Retail Sales m/m-0.4%-0.7%2.3%No Trade

Week 5, Mar
Mar 29, 2016US Fed Chair Yellen Speech$209,735.30
Mar 30, 2016US ADP Non-Farm200K195K205K -r-$38,361.87...
Mar 31, 2016UK Final GDP q/q0.6%0.5%0.5%-$207,686.32...
CAD GDP m/m0.6%0.3%0.2%$17,921.87
CHF Gov Board Member Speech$9,603.87
TOTAL



$149,703.87

April
Week 5/1 Apr


New Test Account $10,000.00
April 1, 2016US NFP215K206K245K -r$4,826.68
US ISM Man PMI51.850.849.5-$5,968.76
April 4, 2016AUD Retail Sales m/m0.0%50.8%49.5%No Trade
April 5, 2016AUD Interest Rate2.00%2.00%2.00%No Trade
UK Services PMI53.753.952.7No Trade
US ISM Non-Man PMI54.554.153.4No Trade
April 8, 2016CAD Empl. Change40.6K10.4K-2.3KNo Trade
April 11, 2016Anonymous Trade    -$419.25
TOTAL$22.24
May
New Test Account $10,000.00 + 
New Trading Strategy Included
Week 1, May
May 3, 2016Night Sniper/Morning Rise$2,153.85
May 3, 2016NZD Empl. Change1.2%0.6%1.0% -r-$775.28
May 4, 2016US ADP Non-Farm156K205194 -rNo Trade
US ISM Non-Man PMI56.754.954.5No Trade
Night Sniper/Morning Rise-$4,563.93
May 5, 2016Morning Rise/AUD Retail Sales0.4%0.3%0.1% -r$2,367.98
UK Services PMI52.353.653.7$2,367.98
May 6, 2016US NFP160K203K208K -r-$3,181.07
CAD Empl. Change-2.1K0.2K40.6K$936.81
Week 2, May
May 10, 2016Morning Rise


$1,492.04
May 11, 2016Morning Rise


$378.01
May 12, 2016Morning Rise$397.70
UK Bank Vote/Int. Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%-$81.22
UK BOE Carney Speech$129.29
NZD Core Retail Sales1.0%1.1%1.3%-$899.65
May 13, 2016Morning Rise-$838.74
Week 3, May
May 17, 2016UK CPI y/y0.3%0.5%0.5%$915.74
US Core CPI m/m0.2%0.1%0.1%$41.64
May 18, 2016Morning Rise$1,134.28
US FOMC Minutes$2,119.00
May 19, 2016AUD Empl. Change10.8K12.1K25.7K -r-$2,861.75
General Trades-$5,537.35
TOTAL$31.53
June
New Test Account $10,000.00 + 
New Trading Strategy Included
Week 1, June
June 1, 2016UK Man PMI50.149.649.2$209.74
US ISM Man PMI51.350.550.8No Trade
June 2, 2016EUR Int Rate Decision0.00%0.00%0.00%-$1,252.94
BOE Gov Carney Speech-$268.20
US ADP173K174K166K -r$239.63
June 3, 2016US NFP38K159K123K -r$3,607.27
June 6, 2016US Fed Chair Speech$443.75
June 8, 2016NZD Interest Rate2.25%2.25%2.25%$7,482.45
June 8, 2016NZD Press Conference$346.16
Miscellaneous Trade$83.08
Gov Poloz Speech-$147.33
June 9, 2016CAD Empl. Change13.8K3.1K-2.1K$5,830.38
Week 3, June
June 14, 2016Morning Rise$1,412.62
UK CPI y/y0.3%0.4%0.3%No Trade
June 15, 2016US Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%$3,520.95
US FOMC Press Conf.$150.00
NZD GDP q/q0.7%0.5%0.9%$4,576.80
June 16, 2016AUD Empl.Change17.9K14.9K0.8K -r-$11,896.57
CHF Libor Rate/Press Conf.-0.75%-0.75%-0.75%No Trade
UK Retail Sales0.9%0.3%1.9K -rNo Trade
UK Interest Rate0.50%0.50%0.50%No Trade
Week 4, June
June 23, 2016UK Pre-Brexit Vote-$23,362.59
June 24, 2016UK Post-Brexit VoteLeaveLeaveLeave$1,313.68
TOTAL$1,750.27
July
New Test Account $10,000.00 + 
New Trading Strategy Included
July 1st, 2016UK Man PMI52.150.050.1No Trade
US ISM Man PMI53.251.351.3$135.63
July 4th, 2016UK Construction PMI46.050.651.2$128.56
July 5th, 2016Morning Rise$1,348.39
AUD Interest Rate1.75%1.75%1.75%-$885.61
BOE Gov Carney SpeechDovish$1,538.54
July 6th, 2016Morning Rise-$1.80 (Pending...)
TOTAL$12,737.67

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Copyright: Image ID-100122522 courtesy of Renjith Krishnan / FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Selasa, 13 Oktober 2015

The Stick Sandwich Interpretation

While analyzing technical charts, whether in a bear or in a bull market, have you ever stumbled on a pattern that looks like a sandwich? You know, 3 candles: 1 at the middle and the 2 that are located on both sides. The set doesn’t simply show up to remind you of food; in fact, it shows up to indicate a trend – and a profitable one!

Technically, the said pattern is known as the Stick Sandwich in the foreign exchange market.

What Is the Stick Sandwich?
The Stick Sandwich is a technical trading pattern that resembles a sandwich; it was developed by the internationally recognized trader, Thomas Bulkowski. It is composed of 3 candles; 1 is engulfed by 2 similarly colored candles. When compared to the external candles, the middle candle has a relatively small trading range. 

Moreover, the Stick Sandwich draws light on the formation of support and resistance levels in the Forex market. It follows that other than point out strong and weak market conditions, it distributes hints with regard to particular closing prices.

Points to remember:
  • Continuations are more likely to occur on the 3rd of the year’s lowest price
  • It can produce a signal for a downward retrace in an uptrend
  • It can produce a signal for an upward retrace in a downtrend
  • Reversals can be detected from  the position of the closing price

It’s all about Perspective
As mentioned, the Stick Sandwich can appear in any given market condition; it can be identified in a bearish market, as well as in a bullish market. It is said that if there’s a small, red candle on the middle, and it is surrounded by 2 long, green candles, you are trading in a bear market. If you are in such a trading environment, you are more likely to participate in a downtrend.

Conversely, the Stick Sandwich can appear in a bull market where price action goes in line with positive trading behavior; since the prices are up and rising, pursuing the ongoing uptrend seems best. Particularly, if the middle candle is the short, green candle, which is located between 2 long, red candles, you’re said to be on bullish conditions.

According to the Analysts
For many analysts, the Stick Sandwich has a questionable reliability; while it can sometimes show trend reversal, it can also lead to trend continuation. On most instances, you’re left uncertain of what it indicates. Although it can be used to establish support and resistance levels, it can yield two-ended results. It is, therefore, recommended to await price confirmation.

Selasa, 08 September 2015

How Rollover Affects Your Account - List of Negative and Positive Swap Rates

This article presents a comprehensive list of swap rates according to positive and negative rates. The essence is to let traders get a good knowledge of currency pairs that attracts extra profits or additional loss in terms of interest when a position is left open to the next day.


In simple terms Forex Rollover or otherwise known as swaps is the interest paid to you or paid by you for holding a position overnight. Each world currency has an interest rate connected to it. So this means that when a position is left open till the next day, it attracts interests irrespective of when it was opened. This should not be an issue for short-term traders and scalpers, but for long term traders it is definitely an issue.


Effects of Negative Swap Rate - Rollover

Effects of Positive Swap Rate - Rollover
Apparently most traders do not bother about rollover policies when choosing a broker because they do not know the effects of rollover (swaps) until they find themselves in such situation. In the illustration above we can see an account with open positions running for more than 4 to 6 days. On the right column (swap) we can see the effects of
http://www.forex21.com/fx-pulse-4#a_aid=51e67ce7cd13d&a_bid=043f400aholding the positions overnight. The swap values (interest) has been added to the profits. For instance in the GBPCHF position with 10 lots the actual profit should have been $19,103.93 but a negative accumulated swap value of -$386.04 was added to it. If the trader knew about the swap rates for the GBPCHF pair he probably would have avoided holding on to the position overnight or taken a better decision to reduce extra loss while hoping for a price rebound. In the other illustration we can see the positive effect of leaving the EURCAD position overnight. The trader gained extra $25.54 added to the profit.

Rollover (Swap) Rates
See below a detailed swap rate list for currency pairs. The list is derived from HotForex Broker. The values might not be the same for other brokers.




Long (BUY)- Negative Swap Rates (Interest Paid By The Trader) click to expand/collapse



Short (SELL)- Positive Swap Rates (Interest Paid To The Trader) click to expand/collapse



Short (SELL)- Negative Swap Rates (Interest Paid By The Trader) click to expand/collapse



NB
Swaps are valued in pips/lots, and may be adjusted daily based on market conditions, and rates provided by Liquidity Providers applicable to all open positions. Some brokers double or triple their swaps on certain day(s) of the week. For example HotForex applies Triple Swaps on Wednesday of each week.

So when choosing a broker consider their swap rate. Wish you a successful trading.

FXTradeCity Recommends HotForex Broker - Click here to find out why....

https://www.hotforex.com/?refid=38774





Image "Money Exchange Between Dollar And Euro" courtesy of tungphoto / FreeDigitalPhotos.net


Minggu, 23 Agustus 2015

Choosing Low Spread Forex Broker Will Save You Money

In currency trading, the spread, calculated in pips, refers to the difference between the price at which a currency could be bought and the price at which it could be sold at any point in time. Most brokers will not charge commission or fees, so the spread is how they make revenue. In choosing your Forex broker, you need to take a closer look on the spreads, because the difference is as great as the difference in the commissions in the stock market.

Some Forex traders believe that getting the lowest possible spread is the most essential prerequisite in choosing a Forex broker. Lower spread could minimize the possible losses and it is important for those who open and close several positions for every session.

Many forex brokers can provide either variable or fixed spread with common and minimum value. However, low spreads are applicable for accounts that require high deposits. It is still possible to get low spread accounts with Forex brokers who are offering micro accounts. It will help you a lot not to confuse these brokers that are offering accounts with zero spreads.

Forex traders who follow the scalping strategy are often more interested in opening accounts with low spread brokers. As a matter of fact, more and more low-spread deals are being opened every day. Commissions that are valued at 100 pips are provided under these conditions. Traders find it easy to deal with low spread desks because it minimized their operational costs. This is usually regarded as a primary criterion in selecting a forex broker.

When you choose lower spreads, you can pay less for every trade. Even though this is not always as easy as it sounds, you will find that this is quite easy. Low spread accounts are even beneficial for big traders. In case you choose a Forex broker who offers low spreads and still charging for commission, you will pay smaller amount as you increase the volume of your trade. Beyond individual trading, you are actually helping the Forex market to become a more competitive place because you are directly incentivizing the competitors to decrease the spreads.

In the case of small accounts, there are Forex brokers who yield low spreads. Small Forex traders are attracted to such brokers and they are willing to pay the required initial deposit. Lower commissions for trading and spreads are recommended for a trader. It is ideal to choose a broker, which can provide you with such a platform.

This article has been written by Mr. James, a Forex analyst from Admiralmarkets.ae – an Arabic Forex broker.